Sacred Heart at Michigan St
Women's · Thursday, November 19, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Breslin Center. Sacred Heart our rank 307 · 1-2; Michigan St our rank 25 · 3-0.
Who will win Sacred Heart vs Michigan St?
The model gives Michigan State a >99% chance to beat Sacred Heart, with a projected score of Michigan St 85, Sacred Heart 44.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan St | |||||
| BlairG · 25 min | 14.6 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 15+ 47% | |
| HallockG · 24 min | 12.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 10+ 64% | |
| BobongieG · 23 min | 9.9 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 10+ 47% | |
| OttoF · 21 min | 9.1 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 42% | |
| Sacred Heart | |||||
| NascimentoG · 24 min | 7.7 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 10+ 31% | |
| DudleyF · 24 min | 7.5 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 5+ 69% | |
| KirbyC · 22 min | 6.2 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 5+ 59% | |
| KieferF · 20 min | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 5+ 55% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kennedy Blair: Sacred Heart <1%Michigan St >99%
The white mark is the call with her: Michigan St >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Michigan St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan St | ||||
| Kennedy Blair | 6.5 | >99% | 0 | 48–82 |
| Theryn Hallock | 4.6 | >99% | 0 | 47–83 |
| Amy Terrian | 3.5 | >99% | 0 | 46–83 |
| Tabitha Betson | 3.1 | >99% | 0 | 46–83 |
Change is in Michigan St's win chance, in points. Scores read Sacred Heart, then Michigan St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Sacred Heart 1-2LWL
- Nov 11L 46-61vs Northeastern
- Nov 6W 71-47vs Mercy
- Nov 3L 48-75at Syracuse
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 55.0 and allowing 61.0
Michigan St 3-0WWW
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 87.0 and allowing 52.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Sacred Heart | Michigan St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.5 327th | 107.1 29th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.5 229th | 81.2 27th |
| Possessions a game | 70.6 312th | 74.2 37th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.5% 347th | 46.9% 100th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.4% 172nd | 42.6% 30th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.3% 292nd | 21.2% 30th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.8% 176th | 33.9% 129th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 239th | 0.23 72nd |
The widest gap: Michigan St's defense (27th) against Sacred Heart's offense (327th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Sacred Heart 19, Michigan St 42
- First-half margin
- Michigan St by 23.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.3
- Projected second half
- Sacred Heart 25, Michigan St 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Sacred Heart, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 35.3 allowed
- Michigan St, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 43.0 scored, 19.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Sacred Heart
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordanna SchreckerG | 25 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Sophie NascimentoG | 24 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Nalyce DudleyF | 24 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Emma KirbyC | 22 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 50% | |||||
| Angelina HodgensG | 22 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Oralye KieferF | 20 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Missy NukuG | 19 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 31% · 1+ threes 22% | |||||
| Taia McMechanG | 17 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Michigan St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy BlairG | 25 | 14.6 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 7+ reb 46% · 6+ ast 54% | |||||
| Theryn HallockG | 24 | 12.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Monique BobongieG | 23 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Tabitha BetsonF | 22 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Kathy-Emma OttoF | 21 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 7+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Amy TerrianG | 19 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Emma BrolironG | 16 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Anna WypychG | 12 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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