Stony Brook at Duquesne
Women's · Saturday, November 21, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse. Stony Brook our rank 208 · 3-0; Duquesne our rank 203 · 2-1.
Who will win Stony Brook vs Duquesne?
The model gives Duquesne a 63% chance to beat Stony Brook, with a projected score of Duquesne 67, Stony Brook 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne | |||||
| MooreG · 31 min | 18.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 20+ 38% | |
| ViegasG · 33 min | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 15+ 51% | |
| RippeyG · 20 min | 8.9 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 10+ 40% | |
| OrenG · 30 min | 7.3 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 5+ 67% | |
| Stony Brook | |||||
| LittleG · 28 min | 11.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 10+ 56% | |
| FrostF · 26 min | 6.4 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 5+ 60% | |
| PhilpottsG · 26 min | 6.3 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 5+ 59% | |
| CookG · 23 min | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5+ 58% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Dunja Zecevic: Stony Brook 39%Duquesne 61%
The white mark is the call with her: Duquesne 63%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Duquesne without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne | ||||
| Dunja Zecevic | 0.7 | 61% | −2 | 63–67 |
| Stony Brook | ||||
| Awa Fane | 0.9 | 66% | +3 | 63–68 |
| Raiane Dias Dos Santos | 0.7 | 66% | +3 | 63–68 |
Change is in Duquesne's win chance, in points. Scores read Stony Brook, then Duquesne. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Stony Brook 3-0WWW
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 73.7 and allowing 47.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Stony Brook | Duquesne | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.9 222nd | 88.8 199th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.1 220th | 96.6 231st |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 352nd | 73.5 71st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.8% 56th | 44.6% 237th |
| Opponents' shooting | 43.1% 48th | 46.6% 247th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.1% 21st | 24.5% 263rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.0% 167th | 33.9% 127th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 71st | 0.20 261st |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Stony Brook 30, Duquesne 32
- First-half margin
- Duquesne by 2.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.8
- Projected second half
- Stony Brook 33, Duquesne 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Stony Brook, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 35.7 scored, 22.0 allowed
- Duquesne, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 41.3 scored, 36.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Stony Brook
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel LittleG | 28 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Leah PhilpottsG | 26 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Caitlin FrostF | 26 | 6.4 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 7+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Jada CookG | 23 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Johanna PotterF | 22 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 54% | |||||
| Alex BrownF | 20 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 44% | |||||
| Raiane Dias Dos SantosG | 18 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Irene Rey PinedaG | 16 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
Duquesne
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla ViegasG | 33 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 3.9 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 42% · 4+ threes 50% | |||||
| Nadia MooreG | 31 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 20+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Ayala OrenG | 30 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Gabby Grantham-MedleyG | 24 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Raevin WashingtonF | 21 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| De'Naya RippeyG | 20 | 8.9 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Amaya RobinsonG | 17 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Maja RohkohlC | 15 | 2.8 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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