Who will win Utah Tech vs Boise St?
The model gives Boise State a 93% chance to beat Utah Tech, with a projected score of Boise St 81, Utah Tech 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boise St | |||||
| HuttonF · 22 min | 10.4 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 10+ 51% | |
| AndersonG · 24 min | 9.2 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 10+ 42% | |
| FosterG · 21 min | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 10+ 33% | |
| QuinnG · 22 min | 7.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 10+ 33% | |
 Utah Tech | |||||
| StokerF · 23 min | 12.2 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 10+ 64% | |
| BowenG · 25 min | 9.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 10+ 43% | |
| SmithG · 24 min | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 10+ 36% | |
| ZufeltG · 23 min | 8.0 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 10+ 34% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Libby Hutton: Utah Tech 9%Boise St 91%
The white mark is the call with her: Boise St 93%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Boise St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise St | ||||
| Libby Hutton | 1.7 | 91% | −2 | 62–80 |
| Grace Foster | 1.1 | 92% | −1 | 62–80 |
| CJ Latta | 0.9 | 92% | −1 | 62–81 |
Change is in Boise St's win chance, in points. Scores read Utah Tech, then Boise St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Utah Tech 2-1WLW
- Nov 11W 133-47vs Nelson American Indian
- Nov 6L 60-87vs CA Baptist
- Nov 2W 107-39vs Life Pacific
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 100.0 and allowing 57.7
Boise St 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 82-59vs CSU Northridge
- Nov 6W 83-68vs Portland St
- Nov 2W 84-48vs Bushnell
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 83.0 and allowing 58.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Utah Tech | Boise St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 83.8 274th | 95.7 107th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.7 335th | 97.4 246th |
| Possessions a game | 73.4 74th | 72.0 179th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.7% 323rd | 48.2% 44th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.2% 283rd | 45.2% 158th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.1% 145th | 22.3% 83rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.9% 170th | 31.9% 231st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 321st | 0.20 251st |
The widest gap: Boise St's offense (107th) against Utah Tech's defense (335th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Utah Tech 28, Boise St 39
- First-half margin
- Boise St by 11.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.5
- Projected second half
- Utah Tech 33, Boise St 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Utah Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 45.7 scored, 28.3 allowed
- Boise St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.3 scored, 29.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Utah Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa BowenG | 25 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Ava SmithG | 24 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Kendall DykstraG | 24 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Sophia ZufeltG | 23 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Savannah StokerF | 23 | 12.2 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Aubrey CookC | 19 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 55% | |||||
| Maia RhayG | 17 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Calyn WoodG | 17 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
Missed the last game: Eva Woodward (19 min a game).
Boise St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zia-Daye AndersonG | 24 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Libby HuttonF | 22 | 10.4 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Mason QuinnG | 22 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Grace FosterG | 21 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Morgan MaldonadoG | 21 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| CJ LattaG | 19 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 2+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Milly SharpG | 15 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Izzie HarmsF | 14 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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