Probable Stats
Menu

Charleston at Queens

Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Curry Arena. Charleston our rank 178 · 2-2; Queens our rank 320 · 1-2.

Who will win Charleston vs Queens?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Charleston a 76% chance to beat Queens University, with a projected score of Charleston 69, Queens 60.

To winCharleston 76%Queens 24%
Projected score69–60Charleston, then Queens
Margin8.7Charleston · no line posted
Total128.7no line posted
First half33–28Charleston ahead 68%
Charleston by 40by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10Queens by 20Model: Charleston by 8.7Charleston by 40by 20EvenQueens by 20Model: Charleston by 8.7

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Charleston
JuffermansF · 25 min13.57.11.815+ 40%
VogelaarG · 28 min11.54.73.310+ 59%
RolonG · 26 min10.12.41.110+ 49%
BeansG · 23 min6.72.91.15+ 63%
Queens
MinshallG · 24 min8.43.41.510+ 36%
NobleG · 26 min7.64.00.95+ 70%
KlabundeG · 21 min7.32.41.75+ 68%
DavisF · 22 min7.04.20.85+ 65%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Isla Juffermans: Charleston 71%Queens 29%

The white mark is the call with her: Charleston 76%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsCharleston without herChangeProjected score
Charleston
Isla Juffermans1.971%−568–61
Tyja Beans1.572%−468–61
Anilys Rolon0.674%−268–60

Change is in Charleston's win chance, in points. Scores read Charleston, then Queens. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Charleston 2-2WWLL

    1. Nov 12L 64-78at California
    2. Nov 10L 44-105at USCDidn't cover +52.5 · Over 146.5
    3. Nov 7W 71-54vs Charleston So
    4. Nov 2W 92-43vs Berry
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 67.8 and allowing 70.0
    Against the spread, this season
    0–1
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    Queens 1-2LLW

    1. Nov 9W 86-40vs Carolina University
    2. Nov 4L 42-100at Vanderbilt
    3. Nov 2L 56-92at Alabama
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 61.3 and allowing 77.3

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    CharlestonQueens
    Points scored per 100 possessions90.4 169th76.9 344th
    Points allowed per 10094.9 191st96.4 226th
    Possessions a game72.7 115th73.7 57th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)45.8% 152nd44.4% 251st
    Opponents' shooting44.9% 147th46.9% 264th
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.7% 270th25.6% 307th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses30.7% 292nd30.5% 298th
    Free throws per shot0.21 211th0.20 252nd

    The widest gap: Charleston's defense (191st) against Queens's offense (344th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Charleston 33, Queens 28
    First-half margin
    Charleston by 5.0
    First-half points, both teams
    61.0
    Projected second half
    Charleston 36, Queens 32
    Second-half points, both teams
    67.7
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Charleston, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 30.8 scored, 36.8 allowed
    Queens, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 23.7 scored, 47.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Charleston

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Janna VogelaarG2811.54.73.31.0
    10+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 57%
    Anilys RolonG2610.12.41.12.3
    10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ threes 60%
    Isla JuffermansF2513.57.11.80.2
    15+ pts 40% · 7+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 50%
    Mia JamesG245.92.62.50.6
    5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 44%
    Abby JegedeG236.63.61.10.5
    5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 37%
    Tyja BeansG236.72.91.10.3
    5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 31%
    Chanel NdiF205.43.60.90.1
    5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 24%
    Aubrey StevensonG141.71.90.70.1
    2+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 17%

    Queens

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Ashantay NobleG267.64.00.90.7
    5+ pts 70% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 45%
    Makayla MinshallG248.43.41.50.9
    10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 54%
    Ryan DavisF227.04.20.80.1
    5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 19%
    Ahmani KlabundeG217.32.41.71.1
    5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 40% · 2+ ast 49%
    Brenae Jones-GrantF204.85.80.50.6
    5+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 41%
    Mia MooreG193.92.71.10.3
    5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 30%
    Nykira ArringtonF144.23.70.50.1
    5+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 47%
    Paulina ReichenaurG133.91.40.80.3
    5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 26%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Wed, Nov 18

    All games
    1. 5 PMprojected 64-70Syracuse at Harvard, women's: game page
    2. 6 PMprojected 70-68Georgia at Georgia Tech, women's: game page
    3. 7 PMprojected 71-63Iowa State at Northern Iowa, women's: game page
    4. 7 PMprojected 63-72Penn at Saint Joseph's, women's: game page
    5. 7 PMprojected 64-75Ole Miss at Ohio State, women's: game page
    6. 7:30 PMprojected 62-72St John's at Oklahoma St, women's: game page