Kansas City at UTEP
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 1:30 PM ET at Don Haskins Center. Kansas City our rank 231 · 2-1; UTEP our rank 293 · 2-1.
Who will win Kansas City vs UTEP?
The model gives Kansas City a 51% chance to beat UTEP, with a projected score of Kansas City 71, UTEP 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | |||||
| BennettG · 34 min | 16.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 15+ 57% | |
| Strickland HurstG · 27 min | 14.2 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 15+ 44% | |
| BennettG · 28 min | 13.5 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 15+ 40% | |
| ColemanG · 21 min | 11.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 10+ 61% | |
| UTEP | |||||
| WarrenG · 25 min | 11.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 10+ 56% | |
| Moses AmaniyoF · 25 min | 10.5 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 10+ 52% | |
| JoaoF · 29 min | 10.3 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 10+ 50% | |
| OlalekanF · 27 min | 9.9 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 10+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Avery Strickland Hurst: Kansas City 48%UTEP 52%
The white mark is the call with her: Kansas City 51%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Kansas City without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | ||||
| Avery Strickland Hurst | 1.1 | 48% | −3 | 70–71 |
| Elauni Bennett | 0.5 | 50% | −1 | 71–71 |
Change is in Kansas City's win chance, in points. Scores read Kansas City, then UTEP. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Kansas City 2-1WWL
- Nov 9L 81-89at Arkansas
- Nov 6W 83-78vs Wichita St
- Nov 2W 120-40vs Baker
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 94.7 and allowing 69.0
UTEP 2-1WWL
- Nov 10L 50-69vs New Mexico St
- Nov 7W 74-68vs Incarnate Word
- Nov 2W 100-64vs Western New Mexico
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 74.7 and allowing 67.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Kansas City | UTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 90.2 173rd | 86.1 250th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.2 315th | 102.4 329th |
| Possessions a game | 72.9 103rd | 71.9 193rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.0% 91st | 43.7% 292nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.7% 302nd | 49.1% 347th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.5% 101st | 22.7% 109th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.3% 152nd | 33.8% 131st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 76th | 0.21 161st |
The widest gap: Kansas City's offense (173rd) against UTEP's defense (329th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Kansas City 34, UTEP 33
- First-half margin
- Kansas City by 0.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.1
- Projected second half
- Kansas City 37, UTEP 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Kansas City, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 50.3 scored, 32.3 allowed
- UTEP, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 35.3 scored, 32.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Kansas City
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emani BennettG | 34 | 16.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 57% · 2+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Elauni BennettG | 28 | 13.5 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 8+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Avery Strickland HurstG | 27 | 14.2 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Micaela CarterG | 24 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Chrishawn ColemanG | 21 | 11.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Shiloh KalengaF | 19 | 8.3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Talasia ThomasF | 15 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Jayla LewisG | 13 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
UTEP
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabel JoaoF | 29 | 10.3 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 8+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Armanda SindalawaG | 28 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 3+ ast 45% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Zainab OlalekanF | 27 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Mary Moses AmaniyoF | 25 | 10.5 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 8+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
| Imani WarrenG | 25 | 11.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 3+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Krista LukasevicaF | 18 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Aolani WoldaiG | 15 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Tatiana CollazoG | 14 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 24% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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