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SE Missouri at Kansas City

Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Swinney Center. SE Missouri our rank 324 · 0-3; Kansas City our rank 231 · 2-1.

Who will win SE Missouri vs Kansas City?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives Kansas City a 81% chance to beat Southeast Missouri State, with a projected score of Kansas City 73, SE Missouri 61.

To winKansas City 81%SE Missouri 19%
Projected score61–73SE Missouri, then Kansas City
Margin11.3Kansas City · no line posted
Total134.0no line posted
First half29–35Kansas City ahead 73%
SE Missouri by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Kansas City by 40Model: Kansas City by 11.3SE Missouri by 20Evenby 20Kansas City by 40Model: Kansas City by 11.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Kansas City
BennettG · 32 min16.04.51.715+ 55%
Strickland HurstG · 26 min14.14.52.015+ 44%
BennettG · 27 min13.47.71.915+ 39%
ColemanG · 21 min12.02.61.410+ 62%
SE Missouri
NewlandG · 26 min11.22.61.710+ 57%
BondererG · 26 min6.93.01.75+ 64%
JonesG · 22 min6.72.21.35+ 63%
BuckmanG · 22 min6.02.51.05+ 56%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Avery Strickland Hurst: SE Missouri 21%Kansas City 79%

The white mark is the call with her: Kansas City 81%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsKansas City without herChangeProjected score
Kansas City
Avery Strickland Hurst1.179%−262–72
Elauni Bennett0.580%−162–72

Change is in Kansas City's win chance, in points. Scores read SE Missouri, then Kansas City. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    SE Missouri 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 10L 50-73at Purdue
    2. Nov 5L 52-75vs Miami OH
    3. Nov 2L 40-77at Missouri St
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 47.3 and allowing 75.0

    Kansas City 2-1WWL

    1. Nov 9L 81-89at Arkansas
    2. Nov 6W 83-78vs Wichita St
    3. Nov 2W 120-40vs Baker
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 94.7 and allowing 69.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    SE MissouriKansas City
    Points scored per 100 possessions78.3 334th90.2 173rd
    Points allowed per 10098.2 259th101.2 315th
    Possessions a game72.7 115th72.9 103rd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)43.7% 295th47.0% 91st
    Opponents' shooting48.3% 323rd47.7% 302nd
    Turnovers, share of possessions25.7% 310th22.5% 101st
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.5% 252nd33.3% 152nd
    Free throws per shot0.20 278th0.23 76th

    The widest gap: Kansas City's offense (173rd) against SE Missouri's defense (259th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    SE Missouri 29, Kansas City 35
    First-half margin
    Kansas City by 6.5
    First-half points, both teams
    63.5
    Projected second half
    SE Missouri 33, Kansas City 38
    Second-half points, both teams
    70.5
    Tied at the half
    4%
    SE Missouri, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 21.3 scored, 34.3 allowed
    Kansas City, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 50.3 scored, 32.3 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    SE Missouri

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Jolie BondererG266.93.01.70.9
    5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 47%
    Zoe NewlandG2611.22.61.71.1
    10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 47%
    Carrington JonesG226.72.21.30.5
    5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 37%
    Hailey BuckmanG226.02.51.01.0
    5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 57%
    Dacarra WardF215.74.40.70.2
    5+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 17%
    Madison AyersG203.61.91.00.7
    5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 47%
    Karris AllenG205.43.80.80.4
    5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 32%
    Yar ManyielF192.73.60.70.0
    5+ pts 21% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 17%

    Kansas City

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Emani BennettG3216.04.51.71.8
    15+ pts 55% · 2+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 48%
    Elauni BennettG2713.47.71.90.1
    15+ pts 39% · 8+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 55%
    Avery Strickland HurstG2614.14.52.01.3
    15+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 55%
    Micaela CarterG248.22.22.11.2
    10+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 58%
    Chrishawn ColemanG2112.02.61.40.6
    10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 41%
    Shiloh KalengaF198.54.71.60.3
    10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 46%
    Talasia ThomasF155.04.41.10.1
    5+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 30%
    Jayla LewisG134.51.71.50.3
    5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 41%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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