Cleveland St at Alabama A&M
Sunday, November 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at Event Center. Cleveland St our rank 335 · 1-2; Alabama A&M our rank 341 · 3-1.
Who will win Cleveland St vs Alabama A&M?
The model gives Alabama A&M a 54% chance to beat Cleveland State, with a projected score of Alabama A&M 77, Cleveland St 76.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama A&M | |||||
| Graham IIIG · 37 min | 21.0 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 20+ 55% | |
| PissisG · 34 min | 14.8 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 15+ 48% | |
| WalkerF · 26 min | 8.5 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 10+ 37% | |
| BrownF · 18 min | 8.1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 10+ 34% | |
| Cleveland St | |||||
| GriffithG · 32 min | 18.3 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 20+ 40% | |
| LoweryG · 28 min | 9.4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 10+ 44% | |
| JonesF · 21 min | 8.0 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 10+ 34% | |
| BaysG · 17 min | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Cleveland St 1-2LWL
- Nov 9L 79-95at Bowling GreenDidn't cover +13.5 · Over 153.5
- Nov 6W 103-79vs Michigan Dearborn
- Nov 3L 50-111at Missouri
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 77.3 and allowing 95.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Alabama A&M 3-1WWLW
- Nov 12W 85-83vs West FloridaDidn't cover −5.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 9L 47-84at DePaulDidn't cover +23.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 6W 103-47vs Mississippi U for Women
- Nov 2W 90-57vs Oakwood
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 81.2 and allowing 67.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Cleveland St | Alabama A&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.9 201st | 95.5 332nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 119.9 364th | 113.7 317th |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 143rd | 69.9 276th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.3% 124th | 47.9% 338th |
| Opponents' shooting | 55.3% 361st | 51.8% 272nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.1% 192nd | 19.0% 285th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.8% 174th | 29.6% 303rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 208th | 0.33 6th |
The widest gap: Cleveland St's offense (201st) against Alabama A&M's defense (317th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Cleveland St 36, Alabama A&M 36
- First-half margin
- Alabama A&M by 0.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.2
- Projected second half
- Cleveland St 41, Alabama A&M 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Cleveland St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 34.0 scored, 46.7 allowed
- Alabama A&M, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 40.8 scored, 28.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Cleveland St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayvon GriffithG | 32 | 18.3 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 20+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Jordan LoweryG | 28 | 9.4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Curtis Stinson Jr.G | 22 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Dre JonesF | 21 | 8.0 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 54% | |||||
| Alex BruskotterG | 19 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Ogbe UagboeG | 17 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Micah BaysG | 17 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Gavin HeadingsF | 16 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
Alabama A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Graham IIIG | 37 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| 20+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Sami PissisG | 34 | 14.8 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 5+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Stephaun WalkerF | 26 | 8.5 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 8+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Bilal Abdur-RahmanG | 21 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Diovion FamakindeG | 21 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Jalen CarruthG | 19 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Devin BrownF | 18 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Kevin PaulF | 16 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 42% | |||||
Missed the last game: Javantae Edwards (15 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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