Lipscomb at Alabama A&M
Friday, November 20, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Event Center. Lipscomb our rank 151 · 2-2; Alabama A&M our rank 341 · 3-1.
Who will win Lipscomb vs Alabama A&M?
The model gives Lipscomb a 81% chance to beat Alabama A&M, with a projected score of Lipscomb 79, Alabama A&M 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipscomb | |||||
| SimpkinsG · 33 min | 17.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 15+ 61% | |
| MartinF · 24 min | 14.7 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 15+ 47% | |
| SargiunasF · 29 min | 12.8 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 15+ 35% | |
| EsmeraldoG · 33 min | 10.8 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 10+ 54% | |
| Alabama A&M | |||||
| Graham IIIG · 36 min | 18.5 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 20+ 41% | |
| PissisG · 33 min | 13.1 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 15+ 37% | |
| WalkerF · 26 min | 7.6 | 6.8 | 0.6 | 10+ 31% | |
| BrownF · 18 min | 7.5 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Takai Simpkins: Lipscomb 77%Alabama A&M 23%
The white mark is the call with him: Lipscomb 81%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Lipscomb without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipscomb | ||||
| Takai Simpkins | 1.5 | 77% | −4 | 79–70 |
| Mateo Esmeraldo | 1.3 | 78% | −3 | 79–70 |
| Devyn Martin | 0.5 | 79% | −2 | 79–70 |
Change is in Lipscomb's win chance, in points. Scores read Lipscomb, then Alabama A&M. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Lipscomb 2-2LLWW
- Nov 10W 88-75vs BelmontCovered +3.5 · Over 157.5
- Nov 7W 78-77vs SIUEDidn't cover −8.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 3L 54-76at Iowa
- Nov 2L 79-86at SE Missouri
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 74.8 and allowing 78.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
Alabama A&M 3-1WWLW
- Nov 12W 85-83vs West FloridaDidn't cover −5.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 9L 47-84at DePaulDidn't cover +23.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 6W 103-47vs Mississippi U for Women
- Nov 2W 90-57vs Oakwood
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 81.2 and allowing 67.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lipscomb | Alabama A&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.3 155th | 95.5 332nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.1 173rd | 113.7 317th |
| Possessions a game | 71.9 73rd | 69.9 276th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.7% 168th | 47.9% 338th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.0% 220th | 51.8% 272nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.3% 206th | 19.0% 285th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.6% 333rd | 29.6% 303rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 111th | 0.33 6th |
The widest gap: Lipscomb's offense (155th) against Alabama A&M's defense (317th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Lipscomb 38, Alabama A&M 32
- First-half margin
- Lipscomb by 5.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.8
- Projected second half
- Lipscomb 42, Alabama A&M 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Lipscomb, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 39.2 scored, 36.2 allowed
- Alabama A&M, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 40.8 scored, 28.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Lipscomb
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo EsmeraldoG | 33 | 10.8 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 54% · 6+ ast 50% | |||||
| Takai SimpkinsG | 33 | 17.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Titas SargiunasF | 29 | 12.8 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 59% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Devyn MartinF | 24 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 7+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Hugo TidareG | 19 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Kennedy OkparaF | 18 | 9.0 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Truman ByrneF | 16 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Josh ScottF | 14 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
Alabama A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Graham IIIG | 36 | 18.5 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 20+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Sami PissisG | 33 | 13.1 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Stephaun WalkerF | 26 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 7+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Bilal Abdur-RahmanG | 21 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Diovion FamakindeG | 20 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jalen CarruthG | 19 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Devin BrownF | 18 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Kevin PaulF | 16 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
Missed the last game: Javantae Edwards (15 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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