Bellarmine at E Kentucky
Friday, November 20, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Baptist Health Arena. Bellarmine our rank 293 · 1-3; E Kentucky our rank 254 · 2-1.
Who will win Bellarmine vs E Kentucky?
The model gives Eastern Kentucky a 65% chance to beat Bellarmine, with a projected score of E Kentucky 80, Bellarmine 76.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Kentucky | |||||
| McCarterG · 22 min | 11.6 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 10+ 59% | |
| KingG · 22 min | 10.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 10+ 55% | |
| LoweF · 23 min | 9.7 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 10+ 46% | |
| HoltG · 20 min | 8.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 10+ 39% | |
| Bellarmine | |||||
| DoyleG · 30 min | 12.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 15+ 35% | |
| DonaldF · 28 min | 9.4 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 10+ 44% | |
| GoodinG · 27 min | 9.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 44% | |
| WasslerF · 20 min | 8.2 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 10+ 35% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Bellarmine 1-3LLLW
- Nov 11W 99-82vs Franklin
- Nov 7L 73-80at Miami OHCovered +20.5 · Under 159.5
- Nov 5L 69-92at IndianaCovered +30.5 · Over 153.5
- Nov 2L 47-93at Vanderbilt
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 72.0 and allowing 86.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
E Kentucky 2-1WWL
- Nov 10L 71-85at Georgia TechCovered +15.5 · Under 165.5
- Nov 6W 106-68vs Midway
- Nov 2W 105-54vs Kentucky Christian
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 94.0 and allowing 69.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bellarmine | E Kentucky | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.6 171st | 101.7 237th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 117.5 359th | 112.0 291st |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 307th | 71.4 111th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.3% 126th | 51.4% 118th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.5% 311th | 49.5% 117th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.0% 289th | 18.2% 197th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.1% 276th | 28.4% 342nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 217th | 0.24 267th |
The widest gap: E Kentucky's offense (237th) against Bellarmine's defense (359th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Bellarmine 35, E Kentucky 38
- First-half margin
- E Kentucky by 2.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.3
- Projected second half
- Bellarmine 40, E Kentucky 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 82.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Bellarmine, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 38.8 allowed
- E Kentucky, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 48.3 scored, 29.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Bellarmine
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler DoyleG | 30 | 12.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 46% · 4+ ast 52% | |||||
| Sam DonaldF | 28 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ ast 47% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Kenyon GoodinG | 27 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Jacob WasslerF | 20 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Demarcus SurrattG | 18 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Julius GizziG | 17 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Grant WhitakerG | 16 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Evan HarrellF | 15 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
E Kentucky
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadrak LasuF | 25 | 5.6 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 8+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Josh LoweF | 23 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Yvens PaulF | 23 | 8.4 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 54% | |||||
| Justin McCarterG | 22 | 11.6 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Damone KingG | 22 | 10.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Drae VasserG | 21 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Austin BallF | 20 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Jackson HoltG | 20 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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