Long Beach St at FIU
Monday, November 23, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Ocean Bank Convocation Center. Long Beach St our rank 237 · 1-2; FIU our rank 214 · 2-0.
Who will win Long Beach St vs FIU?
The model gives Florida International a 65% chance to beat Long Beach State, with a projected score of FIU 77, Long Beach St 73.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIU | |||||
| Saine Jr.G · 33 min | 19.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 20+ 47% | |
| BeamerG · 26 min | 12.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 15+ 35% | |
| MendyG · 24 min | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 10+ 44% | |
| N'DiayeF · 23 min | 8.4 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 10+ 36% | |
| Long Beach St | |||||
| AdamsG · 28 min | 13.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 15+ 39% | |
| PayneG · 32 min | 11.5 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 10+ 59% | |
| SissokoG · 24 min | 10.6 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 10+ 52% | |
| AmenhauserC · 25 min | 9.7 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 10+ 46% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Tijan Saine Jr.: Long Beach St 41%FIU 59%
The white mark is the call with him: FIU 65%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | FIU without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIU | ||||
| Tijan Saine Jr. | 1.8 | 59% | −6 | 74–77 |
| Long Beach St | ||||
| Noah Amenhauser | 0.9 | 68% | +3 | 72–78 |
Change is in FIU's win chance, in points. Scores read Long Beach St, then FIU. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Long Beach St 1-2LLW
- Nov 11W 62-59vs PacificCovered +5.5 · Under 138.5
- Nov 7L 70-83at Montana StDidn't cover +10.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 2L 63-66at Utah
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 65.0 and allowing 69.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
FIU 2-0WW
- Nov 6W 85-75vs West FloridaDidn't cover −16.5 · Under 163.5
- Nov 2W 101-58vs New College
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 93.0 and allowing 66.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Long Beach St | FIU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.2 266th | 101.0 246th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.2 200th | 108.1 173rd |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 72.9 24th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.1% 213th | 49.5% 252nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.7% 198th | 48.1% 40th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.8% 49th | 18.1% 185th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 26.4% 363rd | 31.3% 213th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.30 29th | 0.27 136th |
The widest gap: FIU's defense (173rd) against Long Beach St's offense (266th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Long Beach St 34, FIU 37
- First-half margin
- FIU by 2.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.5
- Projected second half
- Long Beach St 39, FIU 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Long Beach St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 35.0 scored, 34.3 allowed
- FIU, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 47.5 scored, 23.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Long Beach St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack PayneG | 32 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| McCaden AdamsG | 28 | 13.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Noah AmenhauserC | 25 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Yohann SissokoG | 24 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Max VanlaninghamF | 22 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Jaden TenganG | 21 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| JJ ChaikovskyF | 19 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Christian JonesG | 17 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
FIU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijan Saine Jr.G | 33 | 19.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 20+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Corey CaulkerG | 28 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 51% · 4+ ast 57% | |||||
| Trey BeamerG | 26 | 12.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 41% | |||||
| Noah MendyG | 24 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 2+ ast 44% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Seydina N'DiayeF | 23 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
| Justin RomanG | 22 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Mason BlazerG | 20 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Huascar CuevasG | 14 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 47% to play · 5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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