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Alabama A&M at North Alabama

Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at CB&S Bank Arena at Flowers Hall. Alabama A&M our rank 341 · 3-1; North Alabama our rank 264 · 2-1.

Who will win Alabama A&M vs North Alabama?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives North Alabama a 76% chance to beat Alabama A&M, with a projected score of North Alabama 76, Alabama A&M 68.

To winNorth Alabama 76%Alabama A&M 24%
Projected score68–76Alabama A&M, then North Alabama
Margin8.1North Alabama · no line posted
Total144.0no line posted
First half32–36North Alabama ahead 66%
Alabama A&M by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30North Alabama by 40Model: North Alabama by 8.1Alabama A&M by 20Evenby 20North Alabama by 40Model: North Alabama by 8.1

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
North Alabama
EvbagharuG · 29 min16.56.92.515+ 58%
HarrisG · 23 min9.33.41.910+ 43%
LaxG · 19 min7.72.31.510+ 31%
CarterF · 24 min7.53.41.15+ 68%
Alabama A&M
Graham IIIG · 36 min18.34.40.820+ 40%
PissisG · 33 min13.03.04.115+ 37%
WalkerF · 26 min7.66.70.65+ 69%
BrownF · 18 min7.44.60.85+ 68%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Alabama A&M 3-1WWLW

    1. Nov 12W 85-83vs West FloridaDidn't cover −5.5 · Over 146.5
    2. Nov 9L 47-84at DePaulDidn't cover +23.5 · Under 139.5
    3. Nov 6W 103-47vs Mississippi U for Women
    4. Nov 2W 90-57vs Oakwood
    Last 4
    3–1, scoring 81.2 and allowing 67.8
    Against the spread, this season
    0–2
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 1 under

    North Alabama 2-1WWL

    1. Nov 9L 72-81at OklahomaCovered +28.5 · Over 147.5
    2. Nov 5W 76-66vs Union (TN)
    3. Nov 2W 79-75at UC Davis
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 75.7 and allowing 74.0
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    Alabama A&MNorth Alabama
    Points scored per 100 possessions95.5 332nd100.8 251st
    Points allowed per 100113.7 317th111.8 285th
    Possessions a game69.9 276th69.8 286th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.9% 338th53.3% 31st
    Opponents' shooting51.8% 272nd49.7% 129th
    Turnovers, share of possessions19.0% 285th18.8% 272nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses29.6% 303rd30.0% 286th
    Free throws per shot0.33 6th0.29 63rd

    The widest gap: North Alabama's offense (251st) against Alabama A&M's defense (317th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Alabama A&M 32, North Alabama 36
    First-half margin
    North Alabama by 4.4
    First-half points, both teams
    67.6
    Projected second half
    Alabama A&M 36, North Alabama 40
    Second-half points, both teams
    76.5
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Alabama A&M, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 4 · 40.8 scored, 28.5 allowed
    North Alabama, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 40.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Alabama A&M

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    James Graham IIIG3618.34.40.81.4
    20+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 38%
    Sami PissisG3313.03.04.11.6
    15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 44%
    Stephaun WalkerF267.66.70.60.5
    5+ pts 69% · 7+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 40%
    Bilal Abdur-RahmanG216.21.62.20.7
    5+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 46%
    Diovion FamakindeG206.72.51.20.6
    5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 45%
    Jalen CarruthG196.82.20.41.3
    5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 36%
    Devin BrownF187.44.60.80.2
    5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 21%
    Kevin PaulF164.03.10.50.1
    5+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 56%

    Missed the last game: Javantae Edwards (15 min a game).

    North Alabama

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Mike EvbagharuG2916.56.92.50.5
    15+ pts 58% · 7+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 44%
    Drey CarterF247.53.41.10.6
    5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 44%
    Caden HarrisG239.33.41.91.6
    10+ pts 43% · 2+ ast 54% · 2+ threes 44%
    Cortez Graham-HowardG226.72.91.90.6
    5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 54%
    Jarron TalleyG205.42.01.00.9
    5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 57%
    Quan LaxG197.72.31.50.7
    10+ pts 31% · 2+ ast 42% · 1+ threes 48%
    Damarien YatesF186.54.40.70.9
    5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 56%
    Jacobe WhittedF174.84.70.80.8
    5+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 51%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Tue, Nov 24

    All games
    1. 1:30 PMprojected 75-73Oklahoma vs Pitt, men's: game page
    2. 3 PMprojected 76-73Miami vs TCU, men's: game page
    3. 7 PMprojected 79-77Vanderbilt at Ohio State, men's: game page
    4. 8 PMprojected 75-76Texas Tech vs Louisville, men's: game page
    5. 10 PMprojected 82-82Baylor vs Alabama, men's: game page
    6. 11:59 PMprojected 74-74Stanford vs Colorado, men's: game page