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Florida A&M at West Florida

Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at UWF Field House. Florida A&M our rank 350 · 1-2; West Florida our rank 309 · 1-3.

Who will win Florida A&M vs West Florida?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives West Florida a 83% chance to beat Florida A&M, with a projected score of West Florida 74, Florida A&M 62.

To winWest Florida 83%Florida A&M 17%
Projected score62–74Florida A&M, then West Florida
Margin12.3West Florida · no line posted
Total136.2no line posted
First half29–36West Florida ahead 75%
Florida A&M by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30West Florida by 40Model: West Florida by 12.3Florida A&M by 20Evenby 20West Florida by 40Model: West Florida by 12.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
West Florida
JordanG · 25 min11.43.01.610+ 58%
TyreG · 32 min11.25.03.510+ 57%
ColemanG · 30 min10.24.42.610+ 49%
KennedyF · 27 min10.15.92.110+ 49%
Florida A&M
RhodesG · 31 min11.53.01.210+ 59%
WilliamsG · 27 min8.73.50.910+ 38%
PurifoyPG · 30 min8.22.44.810+ 35%
GrantG · 24 min8.23.91.110+ 35%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Florida A&M 1-2LLW

    1. Nov 12W 74-67vs Albany State
    2. Nov 8L 42-101at Florida St
    3. Nov 3L 56-85at UCF
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 57.3 and allowing 84.3

    West Florida 1-3LLWL

    1. Nov 11L 58-86at Florida St
    2. Nov 9W 85-58vs Pensacola Christian
    3. Nov 5L 58-72at W Carolina
    4. Nov 3L 51-73at ETSU
    Last 4
    1–3, scoring 63.0 and allowing 72.2

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Florida A&MWest Florida
    Points scored per 100 possessions77.0 340th87.0 232nd
    Points allowed per 100104.8 346th105.2 350th
    Possessions a game72.8 110th71.4 234th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)42.0% 339th44.2% 265th
    Opponents' shooting47.7% 301st44.4% 115th
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.6% 266th23.0% 132nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.1% 276th33.5% 145th
    Free throws per shot0.23 68th0.24 53rd

    The widest gap: West Florida's offense (232nd) against Florida A&M's defense (346th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Florida A&M 29, West Florida 36
    First-half margin
    West Florida by 7.1
    First-half points, both teams
    64.6
    Projected second half
    Florida A&M 33, West Florida 38
    Second-half points, both teams
    71.6
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Florida A&M, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 19.7 scored, 43.7 allowed
    West Florida, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 4 · 30.0 scored, 36.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Florida A&M

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Niah RhodesG3111.53.01.21.9
    10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 50%
    Tahnyjia PurifoyPG308.22.44.80.8
    22% to play · 10+ pts 35% · 5+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 51%
    Persais WilliamsG278.73.50.90.1
    10+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 23%
    Shaniyah McCarthyG257.23.61.20.3
    5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 32%
    Miya Giles-JonesG256.46.30.40.1
    5+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 56%
    Kamryn GrantG248.23.91.10.4
    10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 30%
    Kristen JohnsonG236.62.51.00.9
    5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 56%
    Dijona BerrienF153.52.80.40.1
    5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 49%

    Missed the last game: Tahnyjia Purifoy (35 min a game).

    West Florida

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Annarose TyreG3211.25.03.50.9
    10+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 53%
    Nia ColemanG3010.24.42.60.9
    10+ pts 49% · 3+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 56%
    Finley KennedyF2710.15.92.10.7
    10+ pts 49% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 46%
    Janai JordanG2511.43.01.61.4
    10+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 45%
    Ebba ZalamansF215.64.30.90.2
    5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 22%
    Kendall LacosteG175.61.80.91.2
    5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 63%
    Giselle EkeC166.33.41.10.0
    5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 29%
    Kayla WilliamsF133.12.70.40.1
    5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 48%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Sun, Nov 15

    All games
    1. 1 PMprojected 77-74Vanderbilt vs Iowa, women's: game page
    2. 2 PMprojected 73-74Florida at Florida St, women's: game page
    3. 2 PMprojected 69-69Michigan St at Harvard, women's: game page
    4. 2 PMprojected 74-74Villanova at Fairfield, women's: game page
    5. 4 PMprojected 68-67Montana St at UNLV, women's: game page
    6. 5:30 PMprojected 77-70UConn at Louisville, women's: game page
    Florida A&M next: vs Alabama, Thu, Nov 19 · <1%West Florida next: at Texas A&M-CC, Sun, Nov 22 · 52%Florida A&M: schedule and oddsWest Florida: schedule and odds