UC Irvine at E Washington
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 5:00 PM ET at Reese Court. UC Irvine our rank 103 · 1-1; E Washington our rank 137 · 1-2.
Who will win UC Irvine vs E Washington?
The model gives UC Irvine a 53% chance to beat Eastern Washington, with a projected score of UC Irvine 68, E Washington 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine | |||||
| YoungG · 29 min | 14.6 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 15+ 47% | |
| GallegosG · 32 min | 7.6 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 31% | |
| NahumPG · 23 min | 6.5 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 5+ 61% | |
| WhitePG · 18 min | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 5+ 60% | |
| E Washington | |||||
| EggersF · 34 min | 17.7 | 9.7 | 1.4 | 20+ 37% | |
| BowersG · 35 min | 17.2 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 15+ 62% | |
| GrossmanF · 30 min | 11.1 | 10.5 | 0.9 | 10+ 56% | |
| McElmurryG · 32 min | 10.1 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 10+ 49% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Lauryn Madsen: UC Irvine 45%E Washington 55%
The white mark is the call with her: UC Irvine 53%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | UC Irvine without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine | ||||
| Lauryn Madsen | 2.3 | 45% | −8 | 67–69 |
| Ahrray Young | 1.8 | 47% | −6 | 68–68 |
| Summah Hanson | 1.7 | 47% | −6 | 68–68 |
| Shirel Nahum | 1.3 | 49% | −4 | 68–68 |
| E Washington | ||||
| Jaecy Eggers | 2.4 | 62% | +9 | 70–66 |
| Elyn Bowers | 1.9 | 60% | +7 | 69–67 |
| Alyse Aby | 0.7 | 56% | +3 | 69–67 |
Change is in UC Irvine's win chance, in points. Scores read UC Irvine, then E Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
UC Irvine 1-1LW
- Last 2
- 1–1, scoring 59.0 and allowing 76.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UC Irvine | E Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 94.5 121st | 95.4 109th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 88.8 91st | 94.6 181st |
| Possessions a game | 71.6 219th | 72.9 103rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.0% 275th | 43.9% 284th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.8% 200th | 48.5% 327th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.1% 149th | 20.6% 13th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.4% 202nd | 35.3% 68th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 97th | 0.23 77th |
The widest gap: UC Irvine's offense (121st) against E Washington's defense (181st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- UC Irvine 33, E Washington 32
- First-half margin
- UC Irvine by 0.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.5
- Projected second half
- UC Irvine 36, E Washington 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- UC Irvine, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 29.0 scored, 37.0 allowed
- E Washington, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 32.7 scored, 41.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
UC Irvine
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gracie GallegosG | 32 | 7.6 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 5+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Lauryn MadsenG | 31 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Ahrray YoungG | 29 | 14.6 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 6+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Shirel NahumPG | 23 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Delaney WhitePG | 18 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Makiah AsidanyaG | 16 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Summah HansonF | 16 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Sarah MillerG | 14 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
E Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyn BowersG | 35 | 17.2 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 62% · 3+ ast 47% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Jaecy EggersF | 34 | 17.7 | 9.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 10+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Emily McElmurryG | 32 | 10.1 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Kourtney GrossmanF | 30 | 11.1 | 10.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 43% to play · 10+ pts 56% · 11+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Alyse AbyG | 28 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Caitie GingrasG | 22 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Madeline GibbsG | 18 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Deets ParrishG | 10 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kourtney Grossman (32 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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