E Washington at Southern Utah
Women's · Sunday, November 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at America First Event Center. E Washington our rank 137 · 1-2; Southern Utah our rank 174 · 2-1.
Who will win E Washington vs Southern Utah?
The model gives Southern Utah a 55% chance to beat Eastern Washington, with a projected score of Southern Utah 72, E Washington 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah | |||||
| UhrichF · 32 min | 15.9 | 8.9 | 2.9 | 15+ 54% | |
| FelyF · 25 min | 12.8 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 15+ 36% | |
| DomanG · 34 min | 7.7 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 10+ 31% | |
| AndersonF · 24 min | 7.6 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 5+ 70% | |
| E Washington | |||||
| EggersF · 34 min | 18.2 | 9.8 | 1.5 | 20+ 39% | |
| BowersG · 35 min | 17.6 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 20+ 37% | |
| GrossmanF · 30 min | 11.3 | 10.6 | 0.9 | 10+ 58% | |
| McElmurryG · 31 min | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 10+ 51% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Ava Uhrich: E Washington 53%Southern Utah 47%
The white mark is the call with her: Southern Utah 55%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Southern Utah without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah | ||||
| Ava Uhrich | 2.3 | 47% | −8 | 72–71 |
| Brooklyn Fely | 2.0 | 49% | −6 | 71–71 |
| E Washington | ||||
| Jaecy Eggers | 2.4 | 65% | +10 | 69–73 |
| Elyn Bowers | 1.9 | 63% | +8 | 69–73 |
| Alyse Aby | 0.7 | 59% | +4 | 70–72 |
Change is in Southern Utah's win chance, in points. Scores read E Washington, then Southern Utah. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
E Washington 1-2LWL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 69.0 and allowing 77.7
Southern Utah 2-1WLW
- Nov 9W 98-56vs Park University Gilbert
- Nov 6L 63-64at New Mexico St
- Nov 2W 87-31vs Redlands
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 82.7 and allowing 50.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| E Washington | Southern Utah | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.4 109th | 93.4 135th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.6 181st | 97.0 238th |
| Possessions a game | 72.9 103rd | 72.3 148th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.9% 284th | 45.9% 147th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.5% 327th | 45.0% 149th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 20.6% 13th | 23.5% 186th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.3% 68th | 33.3% 151st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 77th | 0.23 81st |
The widest gap: E Washington's offense (109th) against Southern Utah's defense (238th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- E Washington 33, Southern Utah 34
- First-half margin
- Southern Utah by 0.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.6
- Projected second half
- E Washington 37, Southern Utah 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- E Washington, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 32.7 scored, 41.3 allowed
- Southern Utah, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 41.0 scored, 25.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
E Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyn BowersG | 35 | 17.6 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 3+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Jaecy EggersF | 34 | 18.2 | 9.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 20+ pts 39% · 10+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Emily McElmurryG | 31 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Kourtney GrossmanF | 30 | 11.3 | 10.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 43% to play · 10+ pts 58% · 11+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Alyse AbyG | 28 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Caitie GingrasG | 22 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ ast 35% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Madeline GibbsG | 18 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Deets ParrishG | 10 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kourtney Grossman (32 min a game).
Southern Utah
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortney DomanG | 34 | 7.7 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Ava UhrichF | 32 | 15.9 | 8.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 9+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Brooklyn FelyF | 25 | 12.8 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 9+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Denver AndersonF | 24 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Charli KayG | 17 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Bella HasanG | 16 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Melicia NelsonG | 16 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Diana SorrondoF | 13 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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