Southern Utah at Washington St
Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Beasley Coliseum. Southern Utah our rank 174 · 2-1; Washington St our rank 81 · 1-2.
Who will win Southern Utah vs Washington St?
The model gives Washington State a 89% chance to beat Southern Utah, with a projected score of Washington St 75, Southern Utah 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington St | |||||
| VillaG · 34 min | 19.8 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 20+ 48% | |
| CovillC · 19 min | 11.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 10+ 57% | |
| RuudF · 18 min | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 10+ 38% | |
| ChatfieldG · 30 min | 7.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 5+ 69% | |
| Southern Utah | |||||
| UhrichF · 30 min | 13.3 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 15+ 38% | |
| FelyF · 24 min | 11.0 | 7.8 | 1.7 | 10+ 55% | |
| AndersonF · 23 min | 6.5 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 5+ 61% | |
| DomanG · 32 min | 6.4 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 5+ 60% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Eleonora Villa: Southern Utah 18%Washington St 82%
The white mark is the call with her: Washington St 89%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Washington St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington St | ||||
| Eleonora Villa | 3.7 | 82% | −7 | 61–73 |
| Charlotte Abraham | 2.2 | 85% | −4 | 60–74 |
| Mackenzie Chatfield | 1.9 | 85% | −4 | 60–74 |
| Malia Ruud | 1.8 | 86% | −3 | 60–74 |
| Southern Utah | ||||
| Ava Uhrich | 2.3 | 92% | +3 | 58–76 |
| Brooklyn Fely | 2.0 | 91% | +2 | 58–76 |
Change is in Washington St's win chance, in points. Scores read Southern Utah, then Washington St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Southern Utah 2-1WLW
- Nov 9W 98-56vs Park University Gilbert
- Nov 6L 63-64at New Mexico St
- Nov 2W 87-31vs Redlands
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 82.7 and allowing 50.3
Washington St 1-2LLW
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 63.7 and allowing 65.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Southern Utah | Washington St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.4 135th | 96.7 102nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.0 238th | 86.0 60th |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 148th | 71.4 234th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.9% 147th | 46.2% 131st |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.0% 149th | 43.5% 63rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.5% 186th | 21.1% 24th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.3% 151st | 30.1% 311th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 81st | 0.17 347th |
The widest gap: Washington St's offense (102nd) against Southern Utah's defense (238th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Southern Utah 27, Washington St 36
- First-half margin
- Washington St by 9.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.7
- Projected second half
- Southern Utah 32, Washington St 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Southern Utah, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 41.0 scored, 25.0 allowed
- Washington St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 34.7 scored, 24.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Southern Utah
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortney DomanG | 32 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Ava UhrichF | 30 | 13.3 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 8+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Brooklyn FelyF | 24 | 11.0 | 7.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 8+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Denver AndersonF | 23 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Charli KayG | 17 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Bella HasanG | 17 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 40% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Melicia NelsonG | 16 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Diana SorrondoF | 14 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 58% | |||||
Washington St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleonora VillaG | 34 | 19.8 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| 20+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 56% · 6+ ast 44% | |||||
| Mackenzie ChatfieldG | 30 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Tanja ValancicF | 29 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 7+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 48% | |||||
| Charlotte AbrahamG | 23 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Alex CovillC | 19 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Malia RuudF | 18 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Aicha BahG | 16 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Malvina HaziriG | 14 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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