Who will win Coppin St vs Maryland?
The model gives Maryland a >99% chance to beat Coppin State, with a projected score of Maryland 94, Coppin St 49.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maryland | |||||
| MackG · 27 min | 18.5 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 20+ 41% | |
| OkananwaG · 24 min | 18.3 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 20+ 40% | |
| McDanielG · 23 min | 12.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 10+ 63% | |
| AgaraF · 21 min | 11.8 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 10+ 61% | |
 Coppin St | |||||
| GeorgeG · 27 min | 8.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 10+ 36% | |
| GambleF · 25 min | 7.1 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 5+ 66% | |
| TaylorF · 24 min | 6.4 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 5+ 60% | |
| NimoG · 23 min | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 5+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Oluchi Okananwa: Coppin St <1%Maryland >99%
The white mark is the call with her: Maryland >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Maryland without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland | ||||
| Oluchi Okananwa | 6.6 | >99% | 0 | 52–90 |
| Addi Mack | 5.5 | >99% | 0 | 52–91 |
| Bri McDaniel | 4.4 | >99% | 0 | 51–91 |
| Nunu Agara | 4.3 | >99% | 0 | 51–92 |
Change is in Maryland's win chance, in points. Scores read Coppin St, then Maryland. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Coppin St 2-2WLWL
- Nov 11L 54-58at Hofstra
- Nov 9W 78-60at C Connecticut
- Nov 5L 60-98vs Tennessee
- Nov 2W 80-69vs Cheyney (PA)
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 68.0 and allowing 71.2
Maryland 1-1LW
- Nov 8W 81-62vs George Mason
- Nov 2L 93-101vs South Carolina
- Last 2
- 1–1, scoring 87.0 and allowing 81.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Coppin St | Maryland | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 80.9 307th | 112.4 13th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.0 218th | 81.9 33rd |
| Possessions a game | 74.6 20th | 74.3 29th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.7% 108th | 47.2% 83rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.6% 181st | 45.9% 209th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.7% 310th | 22.1% 69th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.6% 248th | 34.6% 97th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 224th | 0.20 257th |
The widest gap: Maryland's defense (33rd) against Coppin St's offense (307th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Coppin St 21, Maryland 47
- First-half margin
- Maryland by 25.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.7
- Projected second half
- Coppin St 28, Maryland 47
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Coppin St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 32.8 allowed
- Maryland, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 34.0 scored, 45.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Coppin St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bray'ana MilesG | 28 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Anya GeorgeG | 27 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Shanaii GambleF | 25 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 7+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Samari TaylorF | 24 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 46% | |||||
| Karen NimoG | 23 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Jayleen JonesG | 17 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Amber HowardG | 16 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Arly ZapataF | 15 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 59% | |||||
Maryland
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addi MackG | 27 | 18.5 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| 20+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Oluchi OkananwaG | 24 | 18.3 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 20+ pts 40% · 3+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Bri McDanielG | 23 | 12.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Nunu AgaraF | 21 | 11.8 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Trinity JonesG | 20 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Lea BartelmeG | 20 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Marya BoikoF | 17 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Jordyn JacksonG | 16 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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