William & Mary at Coppin St
Women's · Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET at Physical Education Complex. William & Mary our rank 188 · 2-1; Coppin St our rank 281 · 2-2.
Who will win William & Mary vs Coppin St?
The model gives William & Mary a 63% chance to beat Coppin State, with a projected score of William & Mary 68, Coppin St 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary | |||||
| GeddesG · 33 min | 16.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 15+ 56% | |
| DanceG · 26 min | 11.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 10+ 59% | |
| CarltonG · 24 min | 10.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 10+ 51% | |
| FoxF · 24 min | 9.6 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 45% | |
| Coppin St | |||||
| GeorgeG · 31 min | 11.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 10+ 60% | |
| GambleF · 27 min | 9.6 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 10+ 45% | |
| TaylorF · 26 min | 8.6 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 10+ 38% | |
| NimoG · 25 min | 6.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5+ 62% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Natalie Fox: William & Mary 60%Coppin St 40%
The white mark is the call with her: William & Mary 63%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | William & Mary without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary | ||||
| Natalie Fox | 1.1 | 60% | −3 | 68–65 |
| Cassidy Geddes | 1.0 | 60% | −3 | 68–65 |
| Monet Dance | 0.9 | 60% | −3 | 68–65 |
Change is in William & Mary's win chance, in points. Scores read William & Mary, then Coppin St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
William & Mary 2-1WWL
- Nov 8L 58-99at Virginia
- Nov 5W 78-54vs Tennessee St
- Nov 2W 89-48vs Chowan
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 75.0 and allowing 67.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| William & Mary | Coppin St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 91.0 163rd | 80.9 307th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.6 230th | 96.0 218th |
| Possessions a game | 71.5 225th | 74.6 20th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.5% 170th | 46.7% 108th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.0% 270th | 45.6% 181st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.7% 113th | 25.7% 310th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.1% 75th | 31.6% 248th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 268th | 0.21 224th |
The widest gap: William & Mary's defense (230th) against Coppin St's offense (307th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- William & Mary 33, Coppin St 30
- First-half margin
- William & Mary by 2.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.9
- Projected second half
- William & Mary 36, Coppin St 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- William & Mary, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 32.0 scored, 37.0 allowed
- Coppin St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 32.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
William & Mary
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy GeddesG | 33 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Monet DanceG | 26 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Natalie FoxF | 24 | 9.6 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 8+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Denver CarltonG | 24 | 10.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Skyla MastronardiG | 22 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 61% | |||||
| Marley LongF | 21 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Sophia LeGoullonG | 18 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Ari MercadoG | 16 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Coppin St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bray'ana MilesG | 32 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Anya GeorgeG | 31 | 11.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Shanaii GambleF | 27 | 9.6 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 9+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Samari TaylorF | 26 | 8.6 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 6+ reb 53% | |||||
| Karen NimoG | 25 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Jayleen JonesG | 16 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Amber HowardG | 16 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Arly ZapataF | 14 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 48% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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