New Hampshire at Yale
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 4:30 PM ET at John J. Lee Amphitheater. New Hampshire our rank 262 · 2-2; Yale our rank 190 · 3-0.
Who will win New Hampshire vs Yale?
The model gives Yale a 71% chance to beat New Hampshire, with a projected score of Yale 65, New Hampshire 58.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yale | |||||
| MooreG · 23 min | 15.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 15+ 50% | |
| VukicG · 20 min | 10.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 54% | |
| VydrovaF · 28 min | 9.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 10+ 42% | |
| ChapmanG · 25 min | 9.1 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 10+ 42% | |
| New Hampshire | |||||
| CavanaughG · 34 min | 14.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 15+ 43% | |
| EdmondsG · 25 min | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5+ 67% | |
| Braxton-YoungG · 21 min | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 5+ 57% | |
| WilliamsG · 28 min | 5.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5+ 52% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Luisa Vydrova: New Hampshire 31%Yale 69%
The white mark is the call with her: Yale 71%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Yale without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yale | ||||
| Luisa Vydrova | 0.6 | 69% | −2 | 58–64 |
| Cloe Vecina | 0.6 | 69% | −2 | 58–64 |
| Ciniya Moore | 0.6 | 69% | −2 | 58–64 |
Change is in Yale's win chance, in points. Scores read New Hampshire, then Yale. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| New Hampshire | Yale | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 83.0 283rd | 87.9 219th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.2 222nd | 93.7 167th |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 352nd | 72.3 148th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.2% 193rd | 46.3% 126th |
| Opponents' shooting | 43.6% 70th | 44.7% 137th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.3% 167th | 23.9% 212th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.3% 113th | 33.1% 162nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 299th | 0.22 141st |
The widest gap: Yale's defense (167th) against New Hampshire's offense (283rd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- New Hampshire 27, Yale 31
- First-half margin
- Yale by 4.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 58.0
- Projected second half
- New Hampshire 31, Yale 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 64.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- New Hampshire, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 38.2 scored, 25.0 allowed
- Yale, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 49.7 scored, 14.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
New Hampshire
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie CavanaughG | 34 | 14.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Carolina WilliamsG | 28 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Erin EdmondsG | 25 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Maya Braxton-YoungG | 21 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Kassidy ThompsonG | 20 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Anya McKenzieF | 19 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 54% | |||||
| Ella GetzF | 18 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Averie HardingF | 16 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 47% | |||||
Yale
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luisa VydrovaF | 28 | 9.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Cloe VecinaG | 27 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Marisa ChapmanG | 25 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 6+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Ciniya MooreG | 23 | 15.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Ke'iara OdumeG | 21 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Lea VukicG | 20 | 10.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Dora KastlF | 19 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 5+ reb 57% · 3+ ast 56% | |||||
| Helena KeaneG | 15 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Missed the last game: Hannah Wasserman (16 min a game), Sophia Gibson (15 min a game) and Kasey Davey (18 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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