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Colgate at New Hampshire

Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Lundholm Gymnasium. Colgate our rank 312 · 1-1; New Hampshire our rank 262 · 2-2.

Who will win Colgate vs New Hampshire?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives New Hampshire a 73% chance to beat Colgate, with a projected score of New Hampshire 62, Colgate 54.

To winNew Hampshire 73%Colgate 27%
Projected score54–62Colgate, then New Hampshire
Margin7.9New Hampshire · no line posted
Total115.9no line posted
First half25–30New Hampshire ahead 66%
Colgate by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30New Hampshire by 40Model: New Hampshire by 7.9Colgate by 20Evenby 20New Hampshire by 40Model: New Hampshire by 7.9

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
New Hampshire
CavanaughG · 34 min15.04.73.315+ 49%
EdmondsG · 25 min7.73.61.010+ 31%
Braxton-YoungG · 21 min6.52.61.85+ 61%
WilliamsG · 28 min5.91.91.95+ 55%
Colgate
MeabonG · 34 min13.06.13.315+ 37%
FrancisF · 28 min7.66.51.210+ 31%
HankersonPG · 29 min7.04.12.25+ 65%
GamalG · 21 min5.93.11.05+ 55%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Colgate 1-1WL

    1. Nov 11L 36-59vs Binghamton
    2. Nov 3W 91-61vs SUNY Morrisville
    Last 2
    1–1, scoring 63.5 and allowing 60.0

    New Hampshire 2-2WLWL

    1. Nov 11L 46-51at Dartmouth
    2. Nov 8W 71-52at Niagara
    3. Nov 5L 48-52vs Canisius
    4. Nov 2W 87-41vs New England College
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 63.0 and allowing 49.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    ColgateNew Hampshire
    Points scored per 100 possessions78.7 325th83.0 283rd
    Points allowed per 10097.4 247th96.2 222nd
    Possessions a game70.8 296th69.5 352nd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)40.7% 355th45.2% 193rd
    Opponents' shooting44.3% 110th43.6% 70th
    Turnovers, share of possessions25.1% 284th23.3% 167th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.6% 197th34.3% 113th
    Free throws per shot0.18 329th0.19 299th

    The widest gap: New Hampshire's defense (222nd) against Colgate's offense (325th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Colgate 25, New Hampshire 30
    First-half margin
    New Hampshire by 4.6
    First-half points, both teams
    55.0
    Projected second half
    Colgate 29, New Hampshire 32
    Second-half points, both teams
    61.0
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Colgate, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 2 · 28.0 scored, 31.5 allowed
    New Hampshire, first halves so far
    Led 4 of 4 · 38.2 scored, 25.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Colgate

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Ella MeabonG3413.06.13.30.4
    15+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 41%
    Laila HankersonPG297.04.12.21.0
    5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 57%
    Kaila FrancisF287.66.51.20.2
    10+ pts 31% · 7+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 32%
    Amarah StreiffG274.83.31.11.6
    5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 43%
    Ella MahaffeyG265.42.40.91.5
    5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ threes 41%
    Fleur GamalG215.93.11.00.6
    5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 41%
    Molly CorcoranPG143.31.61.00.6
    5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 43%
    Mia BrockmeyerG111.91.10.50.4
    2+ reb 29% · 1+ threes 32%

    New Hampshire

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Maggie CavanaughG3415.04.73.31.3
    15+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 48% · 4+ ast 41%
    Carolina WilliamsG285.91.91.90.7
    5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 52%
    Erin EdmondsG257.73.61.01.4
    10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 37%
    Maya Braxton-YoungG216.52.61.80.5
    5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 51%
    Kassidy ThompsonG203.73.51.10.7
    5+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 47%
    Anya McKenzieF194.34.40.30.0
    5+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 43%
    Ella GetzF184.13.70.50.3
    5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 29%
    Averie HardingF165.33.90.50.0
    5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 51%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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