Colgate at C Connecticut
Women's · Monday, November 16, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Detrick Gymnasium. Colgate our rank 312 · 1-1; C Connecticut our rank 361 · 0-4.
Who will win Colgate vs C Connecticut?
The model gives Colgate a 75% chance to beat Central Connecticut, with a projected score of Colgate 64, C Connecticut 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate | |||||
| MeabonG · 34 min | 14.5 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 15+ 46% | |
| FrancisF · 27 min | 8.6 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 10+ 38% | |
| HankersonPG · 29 min | 7.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 10+ 32% | |
| GamalG · 21 min | 6.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 5+ 62% | |
| C Connecticut | |||||
| DinglerG · 30 min | 10.7 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 10+ 53% | |
| VrcanG · 23 min | 7.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5+ 67% | |
| SalamoneG · 24 min | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 5+ 59% | |
| McKelveyC · 16 min | 4.7 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 5+ 43% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Colgate 1-1WL
- Nov 11L 36-59vs Binghamton
- Nov 3W 91-61vs SUNY Morrisville
- Last 2
- 1–1, scoring 63.5 and allowing 60.0
C Connecticut 0-4LLLL
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 46.5 and allowing 69.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Colgate | C Connecticut | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.7 325th | 71.6 359th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.4 247th | 105.6 352nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 296th | 71.9 193rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 40.7% 355th | 42.5% 328th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.3% 110th | 47.8% 304th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.1% 284th | 27.1% 346th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 197th | 29.8% 324th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.18 329th | 0.18 333rd |
The widest gap: Colgate's defense (247th) against C Connecticut's offense (359th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Colgate 31, C Connecticut 26
- First-half margin
- Colgate by 5.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 56.3
- Projected second half
- Colgate 33, C Connecticut 29
- Second-half points, both teams
- 62.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Colgate, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 28.0 scored, 31.5 allowed
- C Connecticut, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 21.0 scored, 31.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Colgate
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella MeabonG | 34 | 14.5 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 7+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 53% | |||||
| Laila HankersonPG | 29 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Kaila FrancisF | 27 | 8.6 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 7+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Amarah StreiffG | 27 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Ella MahaffeyG | 26 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Fleur GamalG | 21 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Molly CorcoranPG | 14 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Mia BrockmeyerG | 11 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
C Connecticut
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jill DinglerG | 30 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Liana SalamoneG | 24 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Valentina VrcanG | 23 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Nicora PatrickG | 19 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
| Taryn CampbellF | 18 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 58% | |||||
| Na-Kyah WilliamsG | 18 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Christa RamosG | 17 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Nyasia McKelveyC | 16 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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