Who will win Auburn vs Syracuse?
The model gives Syracuse a 68% chance to beat Auburn, with a projected score of Syracuse 67, Auburn 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Syracuse | |||||
| IzojeC · 28 min | 16.9 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 15+ 60% | |
| SkinnerG · 21 min | 10.3 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 10+ 51% | |
| RodriguezG · 24 min | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 10+ 43% | |
| RambusF · 21 min | 8.4 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 10+ 36% | |
 Auburn | |||||
| PetersonF · 24 min | 7.7 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 10+ 31% | |
| HarrisG · 26 min | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 5+ 70% | |
| OshoF · 26 min | 7.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 5+ 69% | |
| StotijnG · 24 min | 6.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5+ 58% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Uche Izoje: Auburn 47%Syracuse 53%
The white mark is the call with her: Syracuse 68%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Syracuse without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse | ||||
| Uche Izoje | 5.1 | 53% | −15 | 63–64 |
| Emely Rodriguez | 2.7 | 60% | −8 | 62–65 |
| Sarah Rambus | 2.4 | 61% | −7 | 62–66 |
| Jaleesa Molina | 1.9 | 63% | −5 | 62–66 |
| Auburn | ||||
| Jessica Peterson | 2.3 | 75% | +7 | 60–68 |
| Ja'Mia Harris | 2.0 | 74% | +6 | 60–68 |
| Danielle Osho | 1.8 | 73% | +5 | 60–68 |
| Quanirah Montague | 1.6 | 73% | +5 | 60–68 |
Change is in Syracuse's win chance, in points. Scores read Auburn, then Syracuse. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Auburn 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 74-56vs Furman
- Nov 5W 56-48vs Southern Miss
- Nov 2W 84-35vs Alabama St
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 71.3 and allowing 46.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Auburn | Syracuse | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.8 130th | 101.8 62nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 83.0 45th | 83.7 53rd |
| Possessions a game | 71.2 265th | 73.1 92nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.5% 245th | 44.4% 252nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 40.1% 6th | 44.1% 98th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.7% 314th | 22.1% 68th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.1% 79th | 35.2% 73rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 4th | 0.17 346th |
The widest gap: Syracuse's defense (53rd) against Auburn's offense (130th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Auburn 29, Syracuse 32
- First-half margin
- Syracuse by 3.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.6
- Projected second half
- Auburn 32, Syracuse 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Auburn, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 34.0 scored, 22.0 allowed
- Syracuse, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 44.3 scored, 24.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Auburn
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle OshoF | 26 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Ja'Mia HarrisG | 26 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Phoenix StotijnG | 24 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Jessica PetersonF | 24 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 8+ reb 44% | |||||
| Sania RichardsonG | 20 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Quanirah MontagueF | 17 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
| Kaitlyn DuhonG | 16 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 26% | |||||
| Ashley KnoxG | 16 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Syracuse
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uche IzojeC | 28 | 16.9 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 9+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Emely RodriguezG | 24 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Sarah RambusF | 21 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| Tyi SkinnerG | 21 | 10.3 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 35% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Keira ScottF | 21 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
| Jaleesa MolinaF | 18 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Celaine RiccoF | 15 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Angelica VelezG | 14 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 15% · 2+ reb 32% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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