South Florida v Seton Hall
Women's · Friday, November 27, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Elridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center. South Florida our rank 78 · 3-1; Seton Hall our rank 76 · 2-1.
Who will win South Florida vs Seton Hall?
The model gives Seton Hall a 51% chance to beat South Florida, with a projected score of Seton Hall 67, South Florida 67.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seton Hall | |||||
| CatalonG · 34 min | 16.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 15+ 56% | |
| CraftG · 30 min | 11.1 | 6.5 | 0.6 | 10+ 56% | |
| ScepanovicF · 29 min | 9.3 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 10+ 43% | |
| WoodardG · 24 min | 7.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5+ 68% | |
| South Florida | |||||
| IngramG · 36 min | 13.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 15+ 41% | |
| PorterG · 32 min | 11.8 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 10+ 61% | |
| DiakiteF · 27 min | 11.6 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 10+ 59% | |
| PuryearF · 30 min | 10.9 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 10+ 55% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Savannah Catalon: South Florida 65%Seton Hall 35%
The white mark is the call with her: Seton Hall 51%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Seton Hall without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seton Hall | ||||
| Savannah Catalon | 4.5 | 35% | −16 | 69–64 |
| Ja'Kahla Craft | 3.5 | 38% | −13 | 68–65 |
| Ari Woodard | 1.8 | 44% | −7 | 67–66 |
| Saniyah King | 1.2 | 46% | −5 | 67–66 |
| South Florida | ||||
| Stefanie Ingram | 2.8 | 61% | +10 | 65–68 |
| Fatou Diakite | 2.7 | 61% | +10 | 65–68 |
| Kendall Puryear | 2.2 | 59% | +8 | 65–68 |
| Hannah Kohn | 2.1 | 59% | +8 | 65–68 |
Change is in Seton Hall's win chance, in points. Scores read South Florida, then Seton Hall. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
South Florida 3-1WWLW
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 71.0 and allowing 68.0
Seton Hall 2-1WWL
- Nov 12L 67-69vs Fairfield
- Nov 6W 74-56vs Indiana St
- Nov 3W 63-37vs Mercyhurst
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 68.0 and allowing 54.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| South Florida | Seton Hall | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.2 57th | 95.4 110th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 91.2 125th | 84.2 54th |
| Possessions a game | 71.8 200th | 71.3 251st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.7% 27th | 44.0% 279th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.8% 196th | 43.4% 62nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.7% 202nd | 24.5% 260th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 38.0% 14th | 35.1% 78th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 230th | 0.23 92nd |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- South Florida 32, Seton Hall 32
- First-half margin
- Seton Hall by 0.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.2
- Projected second half
- South Florida 35, Seton Hall 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- South Florida, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 36.8 scored, 28.2 allowed
- Seton Hall, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 33.3 scored, 27.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
South Florida
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanie IngramG | 36 | 13.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 49% · 5+ ast 56% | |||||
| Hannah KohnG | 35 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Amourie PorterG | 32 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Kendall PuryearF | 30 | 10.9 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Fatou DiakiteF | 27 | 11.6 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Kate NovikG | 24 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Savannah CurryG | 16 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Seton Hall
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah CatalonG | 34 | 16.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| Ja'Kahla CraftG | 30 | 11.1 | 6.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Ksenija ScepanovicF | 29 | 9.3 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Ari WoodardG | 24 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Saniyah KingG | 20 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Savanna JonesF | 18 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| Shamira MortonF | 12 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 50% | |||||
| Samari BankheadG | 12 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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