Oklahoma St v Washington
Women's · Friday, November 27, 2026, 1:30 PM ET at Alico Arena. Oklahoma St AP 19, our rank 26 · 3-1; Washington AP 16, our rank 35 · 3-0.
Who will win Oklahoma St vs Washington?
The model gives Oklahoma State a 56% chance to beat Washington, with a projected score of Oklahoma St 67, Washington 66.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St | |||||
| CrooksC · 27 min | 16.9 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 15+ 60% | |
| McGillG · 32 min | 15.8 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 15+ 54% | |
| NdiayeG · 29 min | 11.2 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| DengG · 25 min | 8.6 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 10+ 38% | |
| Washington | |||||
| HowellG · 31 min | 14.6 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 15+ 47% | |
| SellersG · 28 min | 13.5 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 15+ 40% | |
| McGaughyF · 27 min | 9.9 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 10+ 48% | |
| TryggerF · 23 min | 7.6 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 10+ 31% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Audi Crooks: Oklahoma St 37%Washington 63%
The white mark is the call with her: Oklahoma St 56%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Oklahoma St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St | ||||
| Audi Crooks | 6.0 | 37% | −19 | 65–69 |
| Liv McGill | 4.8 | 41% | −15 | 65–68 |
| Stailee Heard | 3.5 | 45% | −11 | 66–67 |
| Yuting Deng | 2.9 | 47% | −9 | 66–67 |
| Washington | ||||
| Avery Howell | 5.2 | 72% | +16 | 70–63 |
| Sayvia Sellers | 4.8 | 71% | +15 | 70–63 |
| Brynn McGaughy | 3.6 | 68% | +12 | 69–64 |
| Tilda Trygger | 3.3 | 66% | +10 | 69–64 |
Change is in Oklahoma St's win chance, in points. Scores read Oklahoma St, then Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Oklahoma St 3-1WWWL
- Nov 12L 62-64at TulsaDidn't cover −24.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 9W 94-56vs N'Western St
- Nov 6W 92-38vs Morgan StCovered −50.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 2W 81-39vs Southern
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 82.2 and allowing 49.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
Washington 3-0WWW
- Nov 12W 85-51vs BakersfieldDidn't cover −42.5 · Over 131.5
- Nov 5W 75-54vs Pacific
- Nov 2W 79-63vs UC San Diego
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 79.7 and allowing 56.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Oklahoma St | Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 106.6 34th | 103.8 43rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 81.1 26th | 80.1 20th |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 164th | 71.4 234th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.8% 55th | 47.3% 77th |
| Opponents' shooting | 42.4% 23rd | 45.7% 191st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.0% 134th | 24.0% 226th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.8% 134th | 32.0% 222nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 18th | 0.22 131st |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Oklahoma St 32, Washington 31
- First-half margin
- Oklahoma St by 1.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.1
- Projected second half
- Oklahoma St 35, Washington 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Oklahoma St, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 38.5 scored, 21.8 allowed
- Washington, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 37.7 scored, 25.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Oklahoma St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stailee HeardG | 32 | 8.3 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Liv McGillG | 32 | 15.8 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 6+ reb 46% · 6+ ast 44% | |||||
| Nene NdiayeG | 29 | 11.2 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Audi CrooksC | 27 | 16.9 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| Yuting DengG | 25 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| LA SneedG | 22 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Callin HakeG | 21 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Talexa WeeterG | 16 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery HowellG | 31 | 14.6 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 6+ reb 50% · 3+ threes 42% | |||||
| Sayvia SellersG | 28 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 53% · 5+ ast 42% | |||||
| Devin CoppingerG | 28 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Brynn McGaughyF | 27 | 9.9 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Tilda TryggerF | 23 | 7.6 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 6+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Amayah GarciaG | 19 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Brooke CarlsonG | 18 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ ast 36% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Kaelyn CarrollF | 14 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 52% to play · 5+ pts 16% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kaelyn Carroll (18 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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