Who will win Fairfield vs BYU?
The model gives BYU a 67% chance to beat Fairfield, with a projected score of BYU 74, Fairfield 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BYU | |||||
| GibbG · 30 min | 14.5 | 5.8 | 4.9 | 15+ 46% | |
| HamlinG · 27 min | 13.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 15+ 42% | |
| WoolstonG · 28 min | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 10+ 36% | |
| CannonG · 26 min | 7.0 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 5+ 65% | |
 Fairfield | |||||
| L'AmoreauxG · 36 min | 19.4 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 20+ 46% | |
| AndersenF · 32 min | 13.4 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 15+ 39% | |
| CoeF · 24 min | 10.1 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 10+ 49% | |
| McCarthyF · 18 min | 8.7 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 10+ 39% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Delaney Gibb: Fairfield 49%BYU 51%
The white mark is the call with her: BYU 67%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | BYU without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | ||||
| Delaney Gibb | 5.1 | 51% | −16 | 71–72 |
| Olivia Hamlin | 3.8 | 55% | −12 | 71–72 |
| Brinley Cannon | 3.6 | 56% | −11 | 71–72 |
| Kambree Taylor | 2.3 | 60% | −7 | 70–73 |
| Fairfield | ||||
| Kaety L'Amoreaux | 5.5 | 81% | +14 | 66–77 |
| Meghan Andersen | 3.9 | 77% | +10 | 67–76 |
| Cyanne Coe | 3.3 | 76% | +9 | 67–76 |
| Jillian Huerter | 2.0 | 72% | +5 | 68–75 |
Change is in BYU's win chance, in points. Scores read Fairfield, then BYU. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Fairfield 3-0WWW
- Nov 12W 69-67at Seton Hall
- Nov 8W 74-50vs Vermont
- Nov 6W 90-63vs Binghamton
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 77.7 and allowing 60.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Fairfield | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 106.2 37th | 106.2 36th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 87.9 73rd | 82.7 41st |
| Possessions a game | 71.5 225th | 72.9 103rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.2% 9th | 47.5% 71st |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.0% 314th | 44.4% 120th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.2% 74th | 22.8% 119th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 197th | 37.0% 31st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 303rd | 0.16 356th |
The widest gap: BYU's offense (36th) against Fairfield's defense (73rd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Fairfield 32, BYU 35
- First-half margin
- BYU by 3.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.7
- Projected second half
- Fairfield 36, BYU 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Fairfield, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 37.3 scored, 27.3 allowed
- BYU, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 35.5 scored, 29.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Fairfield
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaety L'AmoreauxG | 36 | 19.4 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 1.7 |
| 20+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Meghan AndersenF | 32 | 13.4 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Paige KohlerG | 25 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Jillian HuerterG | 25 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Cyanne CoeF | 24 | 10.1 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Lana McCarthyF | 18 | 8.7 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Milou van VlietF | 17 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 40% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Addison RhodesG | 14 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
Missed the last game: Milou van Vliet (21 min a game).
BYU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney GibbG | 30 | 14.5 | 5.8 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 6+ reb 50% · 5+ ast 52% | |||||
| Kailey WoolstonG | 28 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Olivia HamlinG | 27 | 13.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Brinley CannonG | 26 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Sydney BenallyG | 19 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 39% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Prasayus NotoaG | 18 | 6.9 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Kambree TaylorG | 17 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Bolanle YussufF | 14 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 6+ reb 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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