SIUE at North Dakota
Monday, November 16, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Betty Engelstad Sioux Center. SIUE our rank 246 · 2-2; North Dakota our rank 258 · 1-2.
Who will win SIUE vs North Dakota?
The model gives North Dakota a 57% chance to beat SIU Edwardsville, with a projected score of North Dakota 77, SIUE 75.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota | |||||
| HincapieG · 28 min | 15.7 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 15+ 53% | |
| WinkelG · 25 min | 11.9 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 10+ 61% | |
| EvansonG · 29 min | 9.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 10+ 43% | |
| KraftG · 28 min | 8.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 10+ 40% | |
| SIUE | |||||
| WilsonF · 26 min | 10.5 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 10+ 52% | |
| PickettG · 28 min | 10.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 10+ 50% | |
| CobbG · 25 min | 9.8 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 10+ 46% | |
| McCaskillG · 26 min | 9.2 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 10+ 42% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SIUE | North Dakota | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.0 248th | 105.3 157th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.8 253rd | 115.7 344th |
| Possessions a game | 69.4 315th | 70.7 196th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.1% 135th | 49.4% 265th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.0% 285th | 54.4% 355th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.9% 169th | 16.8% 49th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.3% 146th | 34.9% 24th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 281st | 0.30 42nd |
The widest gap: SIUE's offense (248th) against North Dakota's defense (344th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- SIUE 35, North Dakota 36
- First-half margin
- North Dakota by 1.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.6
- Projected second half
- SIUE 40, North Dakota 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- SIUE, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 33.8 scored, 36.2 allowed
- North Dakota, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 35.7 scored, 41.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
SIUE
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan PickettG | 28 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Dehrio McCaskillG | 26 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| David WilsonF | 26 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 6+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Gianni CobbG | 25 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Darrion BakerF | 20 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Brennan MillerF | 18 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Jayden RileyG | 14 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Gestin LiberisF | 11 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 51% | |||||
North Dakota
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter EvansonG | 29 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Samuel HincapieG | 28 | 15.7 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Zach KraftG | 28 | 8.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 59% · 3+ threes 44% | |||||
| Luke WinkelG | 25 | 11.9 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 59% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Josh JonesC | 19 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Zack ParksG | 18 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Jayden MooreG | 16 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Andrija RadojevicF | 13 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…