Saint Peter's at UMass Lowell
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex. Saint Peter's our rank 342 · 0-4; UMass Lowell our rank 284 · 3-1.
Who will win Saint Peter's vs UMass Lowell?
The model gives UMass Lowell a 73% chance to beat Saint Peter's, with a projected score of UMass Lowell 70, Saint Peter's 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Lowell | |||||
| HarrisF · 29 min | 13.8 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 15+ 41% | |
| OkojieF · 30 min | 11.3 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| NewtonG · 28 min | 10.3 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 50% | |
| CannadyG · 22 min | 8.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 10+ 34% | |
| Saint Peter's | |||||
| EatonG · 32 min | 12.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 15+ 34% | |
| ThomasF · 30 min | 11.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| WalkerG · 22 min | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5+ 64% | |
| MathewsF · 20 min | 5.1 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 5+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Saint Peter's 0-4LLLL
- Nov 11L 41-77at South CarolinaDidn't cover +21.5 · Under 126.5
- Nov 8L 52-54at NJITDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 132.5
- Nov 5L 55-58vs BinghamtonDidn't cover −7.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 2L 42-66at Seton Hall
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 47.5 and allowing 63.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–3
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 3 under
UMass Lowell 3-1WWWL
- Nov 11L 62-72at UMassDidn't cover +7.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 8W 63-61vs MaristCovered −1.5 · Under 142.5
- Nov 5W 71-61at MerrimackCovered +9.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 2W 121-57vs Rivier
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 79.2 and allowing 62.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 3 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Saint Peter's | UMass Lowell | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 90.1 365th | 98.4 297th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.5 185th | 110.8 251st |
| Possessions a game | 68.2 360th | 71.2 133rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.6% 364th | 48.0% 331st |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.3% 168th | 49.2% 82nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.8% 336th | 15.2% 2nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.1% 104th | 28.9% 328th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 304th | 0.26 204th |
The widest gap: UMass Lowell's defense (251st) against Saint Peter's's offense (365th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Saint Peter's 29, UMass Lowell 33
- First-half margin
- UMass Lowell by 3.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.7
- Projected second half
- Saint Peter's 34, UMass Lowell 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Saint Peter's, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 20.0 scored, 31.2 allowed
- UMass Lowell, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 41.2 scored, 28.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Saint Peter's
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce EatonG | 32 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 34% · 4+ ast 44% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Xavier ThomasF | 30 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Trey PattersonF | 26 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Elijah PerkinsG | 24 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Ken WalkerG | 22 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Jordan MathewsF | 20 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Jonathan NoudjihidiC | 17 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
| Bryson WilsonG | 14 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
UMass Lowell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian JonesG | 30 | 7.8 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 46% · 4+ ast 46% | |||||
| Victor OkojieF | 30 | 11.3 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Jayden HarrisF | 29 | 13.8 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 7+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Jakai NewtonG | 28 | 10.3 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Isaiah WalterG | 24 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Jasiah CannadyG | 22 | 8.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Elhadji DialloF | 16 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
| Kenyon GilesG | 12 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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