Stony Brook at Saint Peter's
Saturday, November 21, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Yanitelli Center. Stony Brook our rank 181 · 1-2; Saint Peter's our rank 342 · 0-4.
Who will win Stony Brook vs Saint Peter's?
The model gives Stony Brook a 73% chance to beat Saint Peter's, with a projected score of Stony Brook 70, Saint Peter's 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stony Brook | |||||
| NdjongaF · 31 min | 14.5 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 15+ 46% | |
| DaughtryF · 26 min | 11.2 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 57% | |
| CengizG · 26 min | 11.2 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 10+ 56% | |
| UgusukG · 29 min | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 10+ 37% | |
| Saint Peter's | |||||
| EatonG · 32 min | 12.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 10+ 65% | |
| ThomasF · 30 min | 11.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| WalkerG · 22 min | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5+ 64% | |
| MathewsF · 20 min | 5.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 5+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jaden Daughtry: Stony Brook 69%Saint Peter's 31%
The white mark is the call with him: Stony Brook 73%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Stony Brook without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stony Brook | ||||
| Jaden Daughtry | 1.3 | 69% | −4 | 70–64 |
| Morris Ugusuk | 0.7 | 71% | −2 | 70–63 |
Change is in Stony Brook's win chance, in points. Scores read Stony Brook, then Saint Peter's. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Stony Brook 1-2WLL
- Nov 11L 59-69at PrincetonDidn't cover +5.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 6L 65-78at NorthwesternDidn't cover +12.5 · Under 144.5
- Nov 2W 97-47vs SUNY Old Westbury
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 73.7 and allowing 64.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
Saint Peter's 0-4LLLL
- Nov 11L 41-77at South CarolinaDidn't cover +21.5 · Under 126.5
- Nov 8L 52-54at NJITDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 132.5
- Nov 5L 55-58vs BinghamtonDidn't cover −7.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 2L 42-66at Seton Hall
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 47.5 and allowing 63.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–3
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 3 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Stony Brook | Saint Peter's | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.0 182nd | 90.1 365th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.2 202nd | 108.5 185th |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 307th | 68.2 360th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.3% 204th | 44.6% 364th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 295th | 50.3% 168th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.9% 56th | 19.8% 336th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.6% 189th | 33.1% 104th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 102nd | 0.24 304th |
The widest gap: Stony Brook's defense (202nd) against Saint Peter's's offense (365th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Stony Brook 33, Saint Peter's 29
- First-half margin
- Stony Brook by 3.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.5
- Projected second half
- Stony Brook 37, Saint Peter's 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Stony Brook, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 31.0 scored, 33.7 allowed
- Saint Peter's, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 20.0 scored, 31.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Stony Brook
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan NdjongaF | 31 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Morris UgusukG | 29 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Collin O'ConnorG | 28 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Jaden DaughtryF | 26 | 11.2 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Ozgur CengizG | 26 | 11.2 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Ethan SimmonG | 17 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Quin GormanF | 13 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Tomas ValentinyF | 12 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Saint Peter's
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce EatonG | 32 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Xavier ThomasF | 30 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Trey PattersonF | 26 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Elijah PerkinsG | 24 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Ken WalkerG | 22 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Jordan MathewsF | 20 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 17% | |||||
| Jonathan NoudjihidiC | 17 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
| Bryson WilsonG | 14 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…