Seattle U at CA Baptist
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center. Seattle U our rank 137 · 1-2; CA Baptist our rank 329 · 0-3.
Who will win Seattle U vs CA Baptist?
The model gives Seattle U a 74% chance to beat California Baptist, with a projected score of Seattle U 76, CA Baptist 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle U | |||||
| HeimbrodtF · 33 min | 16.8 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 15+ 60% | |
| WilliamsG · 26 min | 14.8 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 15+ 48% | |
| BostonG · 29 min | 12.4 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 10+ 65% | |
| YeoF · 30 min | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 10+ 43% | |
| CA Baptist | |||||
| Coner Jr.G · 30 min | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 10+ 62% | |
| StonkusG · 24 min | 8.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 10+ 34% | |
| MullerG · 29 min | 7.6 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 5+ 69% | |
| DuncanG · 22 min | 6.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 5+ 62% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Will Heimbrodt: Seattle U 68%CA Baptist 32%
The white mark is the call with him: Seattle U 74%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Seattle U without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle U | ||||
| Will Heimbrodt | 2.1 | 68% | −6 | 75–70 |
| Halvine Dzellat | 1.1 | 71% | −3 | 75–69 |
| Maleek Arington | 0.8 | 72% | −2 | 76–69 |
| Junseok Yeo | 0.7 | 72% | −2 | 76–69 |
Change is in Seattle U's win chance, in points. Scores read Seattle U, then CA Baptist. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Seattle U 1-2LWL
- Nov 11L 59-86vs UTSADidn't cover −16.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 7W 79-60vs Portland StCovered −10.5 · Under 144.5
- Nov 2L 73-74at Hawai'i
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 70.3 and allowing 73.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
CA Baptist 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 62-81vs Chicago StDidn't cover −11.5 · Over 138.5
- Nov 6L 68-96at Oregon StDidn't cover +20.5 · Over 157.5
- Nov 3L 63-71vs North Florida
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 64.3 and allowing 82.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Seattle U | CA Baptist | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.3 214th | 98.6 295th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.5 101st | 114.9 335th |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 69.7 292nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.7% 240th | 48.4% 322nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 293rd | 55.0% 360th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.3% 307th | 18.7% 260th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.1% 275th | 28.0% 351st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 145th | 0.25 214th |
The widest gap: Seattle U's defense (101st) against CA Baptist's offense (295th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Seattle U 36, CA Baptist 32
- First-half margin
- Seattle U by 4.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.8
- Projected second half
- Seattle U 40, CA Baptist 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Seattle U, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 29.7 scored, 38.7 allowed
- CA Baptist, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 30.3 scored, 38.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Seattle U
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HeimbrodtF | 33 | 16.8 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Junseok YeoF | 30 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Tyler BostonG | 29 | 12.4 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 52% · 4+ ast 41% | |||||
| Mason WilliamsG | 26 | 14.8 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 46% to play · 15+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Halvine DzellatC | 25 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 15% | |||||
| Maleek AringtonG | 24 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 46% | |||||
| Ray AdamsF | 17 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Jaden BailesG | 12 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
Missed the last game: Mason Williams (30 min a game).
CA Baptist
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Coner Jr.G | 30 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Jordan MullerG | 29 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ ast 39% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Justas StonkusG | 24 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Ethan DuncanG | 22 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Rene D'AmelioF | 18 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Jonas ZilinskasF | 17 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Steven Reynolds IIIG | 17 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Anton SafinF | 16 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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