W Carolina at Butler
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Hinkle Fieldhouse. W Carolina our rank 183 · 2-1; Butler our rank 76 · 2-1.
Who will win W Carolina vs Butler?
The model gives Butler a 92% chance to beat Western Carolina, with a projected score of Butler 86, W Carolina 71.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | |||||
| JacksonG · 30 min | 15.9 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 15+ 54% | |
| DjulovicF · 23 min | 14.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 15+ 44% | |
| AndersonF · 24 min | 13.9 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 15+ 42% | |
| KlafkeG · 28 min | 13.8 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 15+ 41% | |
| W Carolina | |||||
| RobertsG · 22 min | 12.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 10+ 64% | |
| PruntyG · 23 min | 10.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 10+ 48% | |
| BrownG · 23 min | 9.3 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 10+ 43% | |
| ManningG · 18 min | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 10+ 39% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Eduardo Klafke: W Carolina 12%Butler 88%
The white mark is the call with him: Butler 92%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Butler without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | ||||
| Eduardo Klafke | 2.5 | 88% | −4 | 72–85 |
| Treyson Anderson | 2.4 | 88% | −4 | 72–85 |
| Drayton Jones | 2.2 | 88% | −4 | 72–85 |
| Jalen Jackson | 2.0 | 88% | −4 | 72–85 |
| W Carolina | ||||
| Jaeden Roberts | 1.0 | 93% | +1 | 70–87 |
| Samuel Dada | 0.9 | 93% | +1 | 70–87 |
| Isaiah Manning | 0.8 | 93% | +1 | 70–87 |
| Travelle Bryson | 0.6 | 92% | 0 | 70–86 |
Change is in Butler's win chance, in points. Scores read W Carolina, then Butler. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
W Carolina 2-1LWW
- Nov 11W 136-68vs Virginia Lynchburg
- Nov 7W 83-75at UNC AshevilleCovered −3.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 2L 72-80at North Carolina
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 97.0 and allowing 74.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| W Carolina | Butler | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.7 168th | 111.8 76th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.2 233rd | 101.9 82nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 184th | 72.6 33rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.8% 159th | 52.9% 43rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.2% 81st | 50.0% 146th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.2% 15th | 18.8% 270th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.1% 158th | 35.0% 21st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.33 4th | 0.23 323rd |
The widest gap: Butler's offense (76th) against W Carolina's defense (233rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- W Carolina 32, Butler 41
- First-half margin
- Butler by 8.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.5
- Projected second half
- W Carolina 38, Butler 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 83.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- W Carolina, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 49.7 scored, 35.3 allowed
- Butler, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 45.7 scored, 38.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
W Carolina
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi BrownG | 23 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Jaxon PruntyG | 23 | 10.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Jaeden RobertsG | 22 | 12.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Isaiah ManningG | 18 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Samuel DadaF | 18 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Jacob ZhuG | 17 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Travelle BrysonG | 15 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Tayeshaun SmithF | 15 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 17% | |||||
Butler
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JacksonG | 30 | 15.9 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 48% · 5+ ast 51% | |||||
| Eduardo KlafkeG | 28 | 13.8 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 4+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Treyson AndersonF | 24 | 13.9 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 8+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Samis CalderonF | 24 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Asim DjulovicF | 23 | 14.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Drayton JonesC | 22 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Jordan EllerbeeG | 20 | 12.5 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Samu AdlerG | 18 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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