Who will win UL Monroe vs LSU?
The model gives LSU a >99% chance to beat UL Monroe, with a projected score of LSU 91, UL Monroe 62.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LSU | |||||
| DentG · 28 min | 13.0 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 15+ 36% | |
| Bashir Jr.G · 21 min | 12.9 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 15+ 36% | |
| RuzicC · 20 min | 12.0 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 10+ 62% | |
| DioubateF · 22 min | 11.8 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 60% | |
 UL Monroe | |||||
| AndersonG · 30 min | 12.1 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 10+ 62% | |
| McPhersonG · 24 min | 11.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 10+ 59% | |
| LondonG · 21 min | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 10+ 40% | |
| TillmanG · 26 min | 7.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 10+ 32% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Donovan Dent: UL Monroe 1%LSU 99%
The white mark is the call with him: LSU >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | LSU without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | ||||
| Donovan Dent | 4.6 | 99% | −1 | 64–89 |
| Mo Dioubate | 3.5 | 99% | −1 | 63–90 |
| Skyy Clark | 3.5 | 99% | −1 | 63–90 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 2.8 | 99% | −1 | 63–90 |
Change is in LSU's win chance, in points. Scores read UL Monroe, then LSU. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
UL Monroe 1-3LWLL
- Nov 10L 92-100at TCUCovered +33.5 · Over 160.5
- Nov 9L 67-108at Texas A&MDidn't cover +36.5 · Over 169.5
- Nov 4W 99-55vs Champion Christian
- Nov 2L 78-83vs C Michigan
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 84.0 and allowing 86.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
LSU 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 90-50vs Louisiana TechCovered −29.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 6W 92-51vs Texas SouthernCovered −35.5 · Under 161.5
- Nov 3W 100-57vs LSU N Orleans
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 94.0 and allowing 52.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UL Monroe | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.3 264th | 113.5 64th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 113.7 319th | 94.0 18th |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 49th | 71.7 87th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.9% 149th | 52.9% 46th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.3% 166th | 44.1% 1st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.4% 311th | 18.5% 240th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.1% 55th | 32.5% 138th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 242nd | 0.25 239th |
The widest gap: LSU's offense (64th) against UL Monroe's defense (319th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- UL Monroe 28, LSU 44
- First-half margin
- LSU by 16.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.8
- Projected second half
- UL Monroe 34, LSU 47
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- UL Monroe, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 39.8 scored, 38.0 allowed
- LSU, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 49.0 scored, 21.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
UL Monroe
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayjaun AndersonG | 30 | 12.1 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Lance CarrF | 26 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Phillip TillmanG | 26 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Quaran McPhersonG | 24 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Khalil LondonG | 21 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Ziyade NdanckyC | 19 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
| Mike WhiteG | 18 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Robert CowherdG | 16 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 31% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
LSU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyy ClarkG | 28 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Donovan DentG | 28 | 13.0 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 8+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Saliou NiangF | 23 | 10.9 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 8+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Mo DioubateF | 22 | 11.8 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Divine UgochukwuG | 21 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Abdi Bashir Jr.G | 21 | 12.9 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 3+ ast 41% · 3+ threes 56% | |||||
| Michael RuzicC | 20 | 12.0 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Brice DessertC | 19 | 9.3 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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