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Texas A&M-CC at Oral Roberts

Saturday, November 21, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Mabee Center. Texas A&M-CC our rank 201 · 2-1; Oral Roberts our rank 304 · 1-2.

Who will win Texas A&M-CC vs Oral Roberts?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Texas A&M-Corpus Christi a 61% chance to beat Oral Roberts, with a projected score of Texas A&M-CC 74, Oral Roberts 70.

To winTexas A&M-CC 61%Oral Roberts 39%
Projected score74–70Texas A&M-CC, then Oral Roberts
Margin3.3Texas A&M-CC · no line posted
Total144.1no line posted
First half35–33Texas A&M-CC ahead 55%
Texas A&M-CC by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Oral Roberts by 30Model: Texas A&M-CC by 3.3Texas A&M-CC by 30by 10by 10Oral Roberts by 30Model: Texas A&M-CC by 3.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Texas A&M-CC
Michelini-JacksonG · 22 min8.53.11.510+ 37%
Kent Jr.G · 17 min7.32.11.05+ 67%
MukunaF · 22 min7.14.30.65+ 66%
BasilF · 17 min6.95.10.75+ 64%
Oral Roberts
GrayF · 27 min16.85.00.915+ 60%
WilliamsG · 32 min12.83.62.315+ 35%
DowG · 34 min11.44.11.610+ 58%
FurnishG · 30 min8.13.83.610+ 34%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Daniel Michelini-Jackson: Texas A&M-CC 59%Oral Roberts 41%

The white mark is the call with him: Texas A&M-CC 61%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsTexas A&M-CC without himChangeProjected score
Texas A&M-CC
Daniel Michelini-Jackson0.659%−273–71

Change is in Texas A&M-CC's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas A&M-CC, then Oral Roberts. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Texas A&M-CC 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 10W 102-58vs Dallas Christian
    2. Nov 6W 67-60at LouisianaCovered +3.5 · Under 129.5
    3. Nov 2L 55-67at Texas St
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 74.7 and allowing 61.7
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 1 under

    Oral Roberts 1-2LWL

    1. Nov 11L 71-80at TulsaCovered +18.5 · Under 155.5
    2. Nov 7W 94-39vs Northwestern (OK)
    3. Nov 2L 55-85at C Arkansas
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 73.3 and allowing 68.0
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    Texas A&M-CCOral Roberts
    Points scored per 100 possessions100.0 270th99.5 282nd
    Points allowed per 100106.6 141st113.5 316th
    Possessions a game69.7 292nd70.8 184th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)50.6% 176th48.1% 330th
    Opponents' shooting48.5% 47th50.3% 166th
    Turnovers, share of possessions19.5% 321st18.9% 277th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses33.6% 80th35.8% 11th
    Free throws per shot0.29 60th0.26 162nd

    The widest gap: Texas A&M-CC's defense (141st) against Oral Roberts's offense (282nd), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Texas A&M-CC 35, Oral Roberts 33
    First-half margin
    Texas A&M-CC by 1.8
    First-half points, both teams
    67.6
    Projected second half
    Texas A&M-CC 39, Oral Roberts 38
    Second-half points, both teams
    76.5
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Texas A&M-CC, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 30.3 allowed
    Oral Roberts, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 33.7 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Texas A&M-CC

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Dan MukunaF227.14.30.60.4
    5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 30%
    Daniel Michelini-JacksonG228.53.11.51.3
    10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 41%
    Lamin FoonC176.34.10.60.1
    5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 55%
    Desmond Kent Jr.G177.32.11.00.5
    5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 41%
    Bin BasilF176.95.10.70.1
    5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 17%
    Bryson WheatfallG174.42.81.10.4
    5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 34%
    Sebastian RobinsonG166.61.61.10.3
    5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 29%
    CJ WorshamF156.13.20.40.2
    5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 15%

    Oral Roberts

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Connor DowG3411.44.11.62.2
    10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 44%
    Boden WilliamsG3212.83.62.32.4
    15+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 45% · 3+ threes 41%
    Cal FurnishG308.13.83.61.4
    10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 48%
    Luke GrayF2716.85.00.92.0
    15+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 54%
    Martins KilupsG244.63.61.11.0
    5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 59%
    Chase MartinG183.23.01.60.2
    5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 46%
    Alex CoutoG154.02.01.01.1
    51% to play · 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 63%
    Amire RobinsonG143.62.30.90.6
    5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 45%

    Missed the last game: Alex Couto (18 min a game).

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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