Who will win Towson vs Penn?
The model gives Pennsylvania a 52% chance to beat Towson, with a projected score of Penn 72, Towson 71.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Penn | |||||
| PowerF · 37 min | 18.4 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 20+ 41% | |
| ZanoniG · 36 min | 14.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 15+ 44% | |
| MohammedG · 28 min | 12.5 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 10+ 65% | |
| LevineG · 27 min | 8.3 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 10+ 36% | |
 Towson | |||||
| RoseboroughG · 29 min | 14.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 15+ 43% | |
| WomackG · 28 min | 12.2 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 10+ 63% | |
| StanfordG · 28 min | 10.7 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 10+ 53% | |
| DoerrG · 27 min | 9.3 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 10+ 43% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without TJ Power: Towson 54%Penn 46%
The white mark is the call with him: Penn 52%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Penn without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn | ||||
| TJ Power | 1.6 | 46% | −6 | 72–71 |
| Sir Mohammed | 1.0 | 49% | −3 | 72–71 |
| AJ Levine | 0.8 | 50% | −2 | 72–71 |
| Towson | ||||
| Zion Stanford | 1.3 | 58% | +6 | 70–72 |
| Jaquan Womack | 1.3 | 58% | +6 | 70–72 |
| Caleb Embeya | 0.8 | 56% | +4 | 71–72 |
| Chike Ndefo | 0.8 | 56% | +4 | 71–72 |
Change is in Penn's win chance, in points. Scores read Towson, then Penn. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Towson 2-2LLWW
- Nov 12W 90-60vs Loyola MDCovered −13.5 · Over 133.5
- Nov 9W 66-46vs Long IslandCovered −7.5 · Under 140.5
- Nov 5L 57-67at UtahDidn't cover +8.5 · Under 137.5
- Nov 2L 70-89at Santa Clara
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 70.8 and allowing 65.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Towson | Penn | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.8 185th | 102.0 223rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.6 102nd | 105.0 116th |
| Possessions a game | 68.9 337th | 72.8 26th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.9% 150th | 49.4% 258th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.1% 76th | 51.5% 253rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.6% 253rd | 16.6% 38th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.7% 14th | 30.0% 283rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 311th | 0.25 232nd |
The widest gap: Towson's defense (102nd) against Penn's offense (223rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Towson 33, Penn 34
- First-half margin
- Penn by 0.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.1
- Projected second half
- Towson 38, Penn 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Towson, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 33.0 scored, 30.5 allowed
- Penn, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 29.7 scored, 40.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Towson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben RoseboroughG | 29 | 14.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Zion StanfordG | 28 | 10.7 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Jaquan WomackG | 28 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Christian DoerrG | 27 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Caleb EmbeyaF | 20 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 56% | |||||
| Jon BartonG | 17 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Chike NdefoG | 17 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Alex AtkinsonF | 13 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
Penn
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ PowerF | 37 | 18.4 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| 20+ pts 41% · 3+ ast 51% · 3+ threes 51% | |||||
| Michael ZanoniG | 36 | 14.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 59% | |||||
| Sir MohammedG | 28 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| AJ LevineG | 27 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 42% · 4+ ast 57% | |||||
| Lucas LuethF | 26 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Augustus GerhartF | 17 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Dalton ScantleburyF | 12 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 4+ reb 49% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…