Bethune at Utah State
Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. Bethune our rank 311 · 2-2; Utah State our rank 305 · 1-3.
Who will win Bethune vs Utah State?
The model gives Utah State a 64% chance to beat Bethune-Cookman, with a projected score of Utah State 64, Bethune 60.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | |||||
| GaylesG · 24 min | 9.6 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 10+ 45% | |
| RookstoolG · 31 min | 9.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 10+ 42% | |
| OgunF · 23 min | 9.0 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 10+ 41% | |
| ThompsonG · 21 min | 7.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 5+ 66% | |
| Bethune | |||||
| DanielsG · 26 min | 8.8 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 10+ 39% | |
| LeePG · 18 min | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 10+ 31% | |
| SheltonF · 26 min | 7.4 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 5+ 68% | |
| NerockerF · 26 min | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Acacia Hayes: Bethune 38%Utah State 62%
The white mark is the call with her: Utah State 64%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Utah State without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | ||||
| Acacia Hayes | 0.7 | 62% | −2 | 60–64 |
Change is in Utah State's win chance, in points. Scores read Bethune, then Utah State. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bethune | Utah State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 80.4 314th | 82.0 294th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.9 276th | 99.7 298th |
| Possessions a game | 71.5 225th | 71.1 272nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.5% 249th | 41.2% 352nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.1% 155th | 49.6% 353rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.3% 250th | 26.9% 339th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.7% 89th | 31.0% 278th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 111th | 0.19 295th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Bethune 28, Utah State 31
- First-half margin
- Utah State by 2.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 58.7
- Projected second half
- Bethune 32, Utah State 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 65.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Bethune, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.0 scored, 27.5 allowed
- Utah State, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 21.2 scored, 36.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Bethune
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarahle DanielsG | 26 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 47% · 4+ ast 48% | |||||
| Akilah SheltonF | 26 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 6+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Alannah NerockerF | 26 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Tahjae HawesG | 21 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Amiyah FergusonPG | 19 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Ndeye Sokhna KonteyeF | 18 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Kayla LeePG | 18 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Kiera NealG | 17 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Utah State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylani RookstoolG | 31 | 9.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Aaliyah GaylesG | 24 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Sami ManciniC | 24 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Mirembe Twehamye MontananaG | 23 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Nicole OgunF | 23 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Lisa ThompsonG | 21 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 3+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
| Acacia HayesG | 21 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Aitana Rosello LopezG | 18 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 29% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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