North Florida at Bethune
Women's · Thursday, November 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Moore Gymnasium (FL). North Florida our rank 222 · 3-1; Bethune our rank 311 · 2-2.
Who will win North Florida vs Bethune?
The model gives North Florida a 61% chance to beat Bethune-Cookman, with a projected score of North Florida 68, Bethune 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida | |||||
| WaldonG · 20 min | 10.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 10+ 50% | |
| RatliffF · 23 min | 9.9 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 48% | |
| StinsonG · 23 min | 9.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 10+ 41% | |
| WashingtonG · 24 min | 8.5 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 10+ 37% | |
| Bethune | |||||
| DanielsG · 26 min | 9.3 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 10+ 43% | |
| LeePG · 18 min | 8.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 10+ 34% | |
| SheltonF · 26 min | 7.7 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 10+ 31% | |
| NerockerF · 26 min | 7.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Brooke Winchester: North Florida 59%Bethune 41%
The white mark is the call with her: North Florida 61%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | North Florida without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida | ||||
| Brooke Winchester | 0.7 | 59% | −2 | 67–65 |
Change is in North Florida's win chance, in points. Scores read North Florida, then Bethune. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
North Florida 3-1LWWW
- Nov 12W 71-64at Little Rock
- Nov 10W 70-43vs Edward Waters
- Nov 7W 93-76vs Palm Beach Atlantic
- Nov 5L 63-74at Florida St
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 74.2 and allowing 64.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| North Florida | Bethune | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 89.9 180th | 80.4 314th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.6 296th | 98.9 276th |
| Possessions a game | 72.6 129th | 71.5 225th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.5% 120th | 44.5% 249th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.1% 95th | 45.1% 155th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.7% 47th | 24.3% 250th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.4% 148th | 34.7% 89th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 232nd | 0.22 111th |
The widest gap: North Florida's offense (180th) against Bethune's defense (276th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- North Florida 32, Bethune 30
- First-half margin
- North Florida by 2.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.6
- Projected second half
- North Florida 35, Bethune 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- North Florida, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 34.5 scored, 28.0 allowed
- Bethune, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.0 scored, 27.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
North Florida
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa WashingtonG | 24 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Jamisyn StinsonG | 23 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Belle RatliffF | 23 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Elle BlatchfordG | 22 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Alonya WaldonG | 20 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Brianna MeadG | 20 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Dezuray McGillF | 18 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 48% | |||||
| Mya MayberryG | 16 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
Bethune
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarahle DanielsG | 26 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 52% | |||||
| Akilah SheltonF | 26 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 6+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Alannah NerockerF | 26 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Tahjae HawesG | 21 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Amiyah FergusonPG | 19 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Ndeye Sokhna KonteyeF | 18 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Kayla LeePG | 18 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Kiera NealG | 17 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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