Long Beach St at Portland
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Chiles Center. Long Beach St our rank 332 · 0-2; Portland our rank 89 · 2-2.
Who will win Long Beach St vs Portland?
The model gives Portland a 99% chance to beat Long Beach State, with a projected score of Portland 84, Long Beach St 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | |||||
| MogelG · 22 min | 10.7 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 10+ 53% | |
| AnanievG · 24 min | 10.5 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 10+ 52% | |
| ManganG · 21 min | 10.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 10+ 48% | |
| SpearF · 20 min | 9.1 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 10+ 41% | |
| Long Beach St | |||||
| ArvaiF · 29 min | 10.5 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 10+ 52% | |
| BerryF · 24 min | 9.1 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 10+ 42% | |
| FurchG · 26 min | 7.6 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 5+ 70% | |
| Taylor-SmithG · 22 min | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5+ 59% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Dyani Ananiev: Long Beach St 2%Portland 98%
The white mark is the call with her: Portland 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Portland without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | ||||
| Dyani Ananiev | 2.2 | 98% | −1 | 56–83 |
| Julia Dalan | 1.7 | 99% | 0 | 56–83 |
| Lainey Spear | 1.4 | 99% | 0 | 56–84 |
| Florence Dallow | 1.4 | 99% | 0 | 56–84 |
Change is in Portland's win chance, in points. Scores read Long Beach St, then Portland. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Long Beach St 0-2LL
- Nov 9L 70-89vs Santa Clara
- Nov 5L 46-100at California
- Last 2
- 0–2, scoring 58.0 and allowing 94.5
Portland 2-2WLLW
- Nov 11W 90-33vs Warner Pacific
- Nov 8L 65-75at Montana St
- Nov 5L 64-74at BYU
- Nov 2W 107-29vs Willamette
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 81.5 and allowing 52.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Long Beach St | Portland | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 84.8 266th | 96.4 103rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.5 356th | 88.0 75th |
| Possessions a game | 71.7 211th | 73.6 65th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.2% 190th | 45.8% 155th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.9% 309th | 43.1% 45th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.5% 187th | 24.3% 252nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.7% 186th | 34.4% 101st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.17 349th | 0.23 90th |
The widest gap: Portland's offense (103rd) against Long Beach St's defense (356th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Long Beach St 25, Portland 41
- First-half margin
- Portland by 16.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.1
- Projected second half
- Long Beach St 30, Portland 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Long Beach St, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 2 · 29.5 scored, 47.5 allowed
- Portland, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 45.0 scored, 25.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Long Beach St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noemi ArvaiF | 29 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Amber FurchG | 26 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 3+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Kailyn BerryF | 24 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Lucia Chico FernandezG | 24 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Danijela KujovicF | 22 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Ebony Taylor-SmithG | 22 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Rosie AkotF | 22 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Ashanti DiasG | 16 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 47% to play · 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
Portland
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyani AnanievG | 24 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ ast 46% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Rhyan MogelG | 22 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 4+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Sara ManganG | 21 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Lainey SpearF | 20 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Florence DallowG | 20 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Julia DalanC | 20 | 8.7 | 7.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 8+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Tiffany BarbosaG | 15 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Goundo Diakite BayoF | 14 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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