Cincinnati at MD Eastern
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:30 PM ET at Hytche Center. Cincinnati our rank 96 · 2-1; MD Eastern our rank 287 · 1-2.
Who will win Cincinnati vs MD Eastern?
The model gives Cincinnati a 90% chance to beat Maryland Eastern Shore, with a projected score of Cincinnati 74, MD Eastern 57.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | |||||
| DeVillaseeG · 29 min | 15.0 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 15+ 49% | |
| JahG · 25 min | 11.5 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 10+ 59% | |
| BullardC · 18 min | 7.7 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 10+ 31% | |
| JonesG · 25 min | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 5+ 64% | |
| MD Eastern | |||||
| MooreG · 22 min | 6.9 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 5+ 64% | |
| WilsonG · 21 min | 6.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5+ 63% | |
| PerryF · 24 min | 6.1 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 5+ 57% | |
| JeffersF · 20 min | 6.0 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 5+ 57% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Caliyah DeVillasee: Cincinnati 85%MD Eastern 15%
The white mark is the call with her: Cincinnati 90%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Cincinnati without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | ||||
| Caliyah DeVillasee | 3.0 | 85% | −5 | 72–59 |
| Naomi Benson | 1.5 | 88% | −2 | 73–58 |
| Jade Jones | 1.4 | 88% | −2 | 73–58 |
| Sahnya Jah | 1.2 | 88% | −2 | 73–58 |
Change is in Cincinnati's win chance, in points. Scores read Cincinnati, then MD Eastern. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Cincinnati 2-1WWL
- Nov 11L 56-67vs Saint Joseph's
- Nov 7W 76-53vs Penn State
- Nov 4W 66-58vs East Texas A&M
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 66.0 and allowing 59.3
MD Eastern 1-2LWL
- Nov 12L 58-89at Georgia Tech
- Nov 7W 90-52vs District of Columbia
- Nov 2L 45-87at Virginia
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 64.3 and allowing 76.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Cincinnati | MD Eastern | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.2 98th | 80.6 312th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 89.6 103rd | 96.3 224th |
| Possessions a game | 71.8 200th | 73.7 57th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.3% 302nd | 44.1% 270th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.3% 162nd | 45.6% 178th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.9% 56th | 25.9% 319th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.1% 216th | 29.7% 326th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 282nd | 0.22 127th |
The widest gap: Cincinnati's defense (103rd) against MD Eastern's offense (312th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Cincinnati 36, MD Eastern 26
- First-half margin
- Cincinnati by 9.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.1
- Projected second half
- Cincinnati 38, MD Eastern 31
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Cincinnati, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 31.3 scored, 27.7 allowed
- MD Eastern, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 27.3 scored, 36.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Cincinnati
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caliyah DeVillaseeG | 29 | 15.0 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 41% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Jade JonesG | 25 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Sahnya JahG | 25 | 11.5 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Reagan JacksonG | 18 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ ast 37% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Naomi BensonF | 18 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Amber BullardC | 18 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 6+ reb 52% | |||||
| Joya CrawfordG | 17 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Dee AlexanderF | 15 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
MD Eastern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailynn ClaytonG | 25 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Tahj-Monet BloomF | 25 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Kalise HillG | 24 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 61% | |||||
| Kaliya PerryF | 24 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 46% to play · 5+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 51% | |||||
| Mak MooreG | 22 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Chasity WilsonG | 21 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Marley JeffersF | 20 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| Aliza MurrayG | 19 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kaliya Perry (28 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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