MD Eastern at Rutgers
Women's · Thursday, November 19, 2026, 11:00 AM ET at Jersey Mike’s Arena. MD Eastern our rank 287 · 1-2; Rutgers our rank 106 · 4-0.
Who will win MD Eastern vs Rutgers?
The model gives Rutgers a 96% chance to beat Maryland Eastern Shore, with a projected score of Rutgers 78, MD Eastern 56.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers | |||||
| PauldoG · 31 min | 18.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 20+ 43% | |
| PerkinsG · 29 min | 13.2 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 15+ 38% | |
| LampleyG · 28 min | 12.4 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 10+ 65% | |
| DayeG · 27 min | 10.0 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 10+ 48% | |
| MD Eastern | |||||
| MooreG · 22 min | 6.7 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 5+ 63% | |
| WilsonG · 21 min | 6.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5+ 61% | |
| PerryF · 24 min | 5.9 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 5+ 55% | |
| JeffersF · 20 min | 5.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Mia Pauldo: MD Eastern 7%Rutgers 93%
The white mark is the call with her: Rutgers 96%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Rutgers without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers | ||||
| Mia Pauldo | 3.0 | 93% | −3 | 58–76 |
| Tara Daye | 2.1 | 94% | −2 | 57–77 |
| Jaylah Lampley | 1.9 | 94% | −2 | 57–77 |
| Mya Pauldo | 1.4 | 95% | −1 | 57–77 |
Change is in Rutgers's win chance, in points. Scores read MD Eastern, then Rutgers. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
MD Eastern 1-2LWL
- Nov 12L 58-89at Georgia Tech
- Nov 7W 90-52vs District of Columbia
- Nov 2L 45-87at Virginia
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 64.3 and allowing 76.0
Rutgers 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 64-62vs Monmouth
- Nov 8W 107-76vs Indiana St
- Nov 4W 75-62vs La Salle
- Nov 2W 83-52vs Long Island
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 82.2 and allowing 63.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| MD Eastern | Rutgers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 80.6 312th | 97.2 97th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.3 224th | 92.4 138th |
| Possessions a game | 73.7 57th | 72.2 156th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.1% 270th | 44.5% 243rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.6% 178th | 47.9% 311th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.9% 319th | 21.0% 18th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.7% 326th | 33.6% 143rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 127th | 0.22 142nd |
The widest gap: Rutgers's defense (138th) against MD Eastern's offense (312th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- MD Eastern 25, Rutgers 38
- First-half margin
- Rutgers by 12.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.5
- Projected second half
- MD Eastern 31, Rutgers 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- MD Eastern, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 27.3 scored, 36.3 allowed
- Rutgers, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 37.0 scored, 29.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
MD Eastern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailynn ClaytonG | 25 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Tahj-Monet BloomF | 25 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Kalise HillG | 24 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Kaliya PerryF | 24 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 46% to play · 5+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 48% | |||||
| Mak MooreG | 22 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Chasity WilsonG | 21 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Marley JeffersF | 20 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
| Aliza MurrayG | 19 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kaliya Perry (28 min a game).
Rutgers
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia PauldoG | 31 | 18.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
| 20+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Zachara PerkinsG | 29 | 13.2 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Jaylah LampleyG | 28 | 12.4 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Tara DayeG | 27 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Mya PauldoG | 21 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Zennia ThomasF | 20 | 9.2 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Imani LesterF | 18 | 7.5 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Chikae DesdunesG | 15 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 53% to play · 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
Missed the last game: Chikae Desdunes (20 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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