Texas A&M-CC at Houston
Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Fertitta Center. Texas A&M-CC our rank 341 · 1-1; Houston our rank 107 · 3-0.
Who will win Texas A&M-CC vs Houston?
The model gives Houston a 98% chance to beat Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, with a projected score of Houston 80, Texas A&M-CC 52.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | |||||
| McCowanG · 29 min | 17.2 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 15+ 62% | |
| HamiltonG · 24 min | 12.2 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 10+ 64% | |
| EnriquezG · 24 min | 11.2 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 10+ 57% | |
| LutbertC · 20 min | 10.1 | 9.0 | 0.8 | 10+ 49% | |
| Texas A&M-CC | |||||
| Frances WillisG · 25 min | 7.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 5+ 68% | |
| WilliamsF · 21 min | 5.9 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 5+ 56% | |
| WalkerG · 21 min | 5.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 5+ 55% | |
| MolderG · 24 min | 5.4 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 5+ 50% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kaelyn Hamilton: Texas A&M-CC 3%Houston 97%
The white mark is the call with her: Houston 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Houston without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | ||||
| Kaelyn Hamilton | 3.0 | 97% | −1 | 54–79 |
| Raegan McCowan | 2.6 | 97% | −1 | 54–79 |
| Elodie Lutbert | 2.1 | 98% | 0 | 53–79 |
| Janiyah Williams | 1.8 | 98% | 0 | 53–79 |
Change is in Houston's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas A&M-CC, then Houston. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Texas A&M-CC 1-1WL
- Last 2
- 1–1, scoring 58.0 and allowing 74.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Texas A&M-CC | Houston | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.8 324th | 94.5 124th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.1 326th | 89.8 104th |
| Possessions a game | 71.6 219th | 74.2 37th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.7% 294th | 48.7% 28th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.0% 343rd | 42.6% 32nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.5% 258th | 25.7% 312th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.8% 236th | 34.9% 85th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 290th | 0.20 249th |
The widest gap: Houston's defense (104th) against Texas A&M-CC's offense (324th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Texas A&M-CC 23, Houston 39
- First-half margin
- Houston by 15.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.8
- Projected second half
- Texas A&M-CC 29, Houston 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Texas A&M-CC, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 26.0 scored, 31.5 allowed
- Houston, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 42.3 scored, 29.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Texas A&M-CC
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Frances WillisG | 25 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Sille-Liis MolderG | 24 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Naiya CarneyG | 24 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Chelsy SingletonG | 22 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Rayna WilliamsF | 21 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Asha WalkerG | 21 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Caitlin LordF | 18 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Lori ZlatoperF | 16 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
Houston
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raegan McCowanG | 29 | 17.2 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 15+ pts 62% · 7+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Marta LlompartG | 25 | 9.2 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Kaelyn HamiltonG | 24 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Esmeralda EnriquezG | 24 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Elodie LutbertC | 20 | 10.1 | 9.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 9+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Alyvia McCorkleG | 17 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Kayla KingG | 17 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Madison CarltonF | 16 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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