Charleston So at Davidson
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at John M. Belk Arena. Charleston So our rank 336 · 0-3; Davidson our rank 68 · 1-3.
Who will win Charleston So vs Davidson?
The model gives Davidson a 99% chance to beat Charleston Southern, with a projected score of Davidson 79, Charleston So 47.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davidson | |||||
| DonovanG · 27 min | 16.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 15+ 55% | |
| BruyndoncxG · 28 min | 14.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 15+ 45% | |
| BessellG · 24 min | 7.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 5+ 66% | |
| ReisingerG · 16 min | 5.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5+ 50% | |
| Charleston So | |||||
| SestanG · 29 min | 9.2 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 10+ 42% | |
| BattleG · 30 min | 5.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 5+ 53% | |
| VilcinskasC · 22 min | 5.7 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 5+ 54% | |
| CummingsF · 25 min | 4.1 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 5+ 37% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Katie Donovan: Charleston So 1%Davidson 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Davidson 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Davidson without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davidson | ||||
| Katie Donovan | 3.1 | 99% | 0 | 49–77 |
| Kyra Bruyndoncx | 2.6 | 99% | 0 | 48–77 |
| Ines Garcia Monje | 2.1 | 99% | 0 | 48–78 |
| Emilie Bessell | 2.0 | 99% | 0 | 48–78 |
Change is in Davidson's win chance, in points. Scores read Charleston So, then Davidson. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Charleston So 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 45-54at Mercer
- Nov 7L 54-71at Charleston
- Nov 3L 45-61at East Carolina
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 48.0 and allowing 62.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Charleston So | Davidson | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 77.0 343rd | 101.2 66th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.5 292nd | 88.5 85th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 70.3 327th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.6% 233rd | 44.7% 226th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.2% 105th | 47.8% 306th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 28.2% 349th | 21.0% 20th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.0% 82nd | 31.9% 226th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 273rd | 0.22 147th |
The widest gap: Davidson's defense (85th) against Charleston So's offense (343rd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Charleston So 21, Davidson 39
- First-half margin
- Davidson by 18.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.6
- Projected second half
- Charleston So 26, Davidson 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Charleston So, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Davidson, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 37.2 scored, 29.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Charleston So
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashleigh BattleG | 30 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Zara SestanG | 29 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Lauren CummingsF | 25 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 55% | |||||
| Celina VilcinskasC | 22 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 58% | |||||
| Iva CholakoskaG | 21 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Sofia EkhG | 19 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 33% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Selenay TanikF | 18 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
| Iva MedugoracG | 17 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
Davidson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra BruyndoncxG | 28 | 14.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Katie DonovanG | 27 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Elena Alvarez CastellanosG | 26 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 41% · 5+ ast 50% | |||||
| Emilie BessellG | 24 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Ines Garcia MonjeF | 22 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| Sharni ReisingerG | 16 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Asha NightingaleF | 15 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Jasmine TimmersonG | 14 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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