Sam Houston at UL Monroe
Women's · Thursday, November 19, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at b1Bank Fant Coliseum. Sam Houston our rank 252 · 2-1; UL Monroe our rank 263 · 1-2.
Who will win Sam Houston vs UL Monroe?
The model gives UL Monroe a 60% chance to beat Sam Houston, with a projected score of UL Monroe 64, Sam Houston 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe | |||||
| CulverG · 17 min | 10.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 10+ 53% | |
| HuntG · 27 min | 8.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 10+ 39% | |
| LindseyG · 21 min | 6.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 5+ 63% | |
| ScottG · 23 min | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 5+ 61% | |
| Sam Houston | |||||
| KoneG · 28 min | 10.5 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 10+ 52% | |
| OgayemiF · 28 min | 9.4 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 10+ 44% | |
| JohnsonF · 25 min | 9.4 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 10+ 44% | |
| WallaceG · 24 min | 8.9 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 10+ 40% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Fanta Kone: Sam Houston 36%UL Monroe 64%
The white mark is the call with her: UL Monroe 60%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | UL Monroe without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | ||||
| Fanta Kone | 1.3 | 64% | +4 | 60–65 |
| Deborah Ogayemi | 0.9 | 63% | +3 | 60–65 |
Change is in UL Monroe's win chance, in points. Scores read Sam Houston, then UL Monroe. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Sam Houston 2-1WLW
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 91.7 and allowing 56.0
UL Monroe 1-2LWL
- Nov 9L 49-61vs C Arkansas
- Nov 5W 106-26vs Centenary (LA)
- Nov 2L 46-57at Ohio
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 67.0 and allowing 48.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Sam Houston | UL Monroe | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 82.1 291st | 81.7 298th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.6 181st | 95.0 193rd |
| Possessions a game | 73.9 51st | 72.7 115th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.6% 298th | 41.5% 346th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.1% 276th | 44.9% 145th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.1% 140th | 24.8% 274th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.5% 254th | 33.2% 160th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 225th | 0.23 58th |
The widest gap: Sam Houston's defense (181st) against UL Monroe's offense (298th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Sam Houston 29, UL Monroe 31
- First-half margin
- UL Monroe by 1.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.4
- Projected second half
- Sam Houston 32, UL Monroe 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 65.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Sam Houston, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 50.0 scored, 30.3 allowed
- UL Monroe, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 33.7 scored, 23.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Sam Houston
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deborah OgayemiF | 28 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Fanta KoneG | 28 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 55% · 5+ ast 58% | |||||
| Lanaijha JohnsonF | 25 | 9.4 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 7+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Hannah WallaceG | 24 | 8.9 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Esther RodellarG | 20 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Mar'Cyah WillisG | 17 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 29% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Taylor SpencerG | 15 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Ruke OgbevireG | 15 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
UL Monroe
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylee HuntG | 27 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Nevaeh ScottG | 23 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Summer FaleafaF | 23 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Lea NadolnyG | 22 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Kayla LindseyG | 21 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Erin HenryG | 20 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Nuria MucongoNA | 17 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 26% | |||||
| Aiyanna CulverG | 17 | 10.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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