Who will win Alcorn St vs Tulane?
The model gives Tulane a 98% chance to beat Alcorn State, with a projected score of Tulane 76, Alcorn St 50.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tulane | |||||
| DanielG · 26 min | 13.0 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 15+ 37% | |
| StrauszF · 26 min | 11.1 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 10+ 56% | |
| HessionPG · 25 min | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 10+ 50% | |
| SmithG · 26 min | 10.0 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 10+ 49% | |
 Alcorn St | |||||
| MorganG · 25 min | 8.3 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 10+ 35% | |
| SmithG · 23 min | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5+ 63% | |
| NelsonF · 27 min | 6.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 5+ 60% | |
| JohnsonG · 24 min | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 5+ 60% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Edina Strausz: Alcorn St 4%Tulane 96%
The white mark is the call with her: Tulane 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Tulane without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane | ||||
| Edina Strausz | 3.0 | 96% | −2 | 51–74 |
| Kanija Daniel | 2.1 | 97% | −1 | 51–75 |
| Khadee Hession | 2.1 | 97% | −1 | 51–75 |
| Nataliyah Gray | 1.3 | 97% | −1 | 50–75 |
Change is in Tulane's win chance, in points. Scores read Alcorn St, then Tulane. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Alcorn St 1-1LW
- Last 2
- 1–1, scoring 64.5 and allowing 62.0
Tulane 2-1WLW
- Nov 12W 101-61vs LSU N Orleans
- Nov 8L 63-68vs AlabamaCovered +17.5 · Under 137.5
- Nov 2W 92-38vs Texas Southern
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 85.3 and allowing 55.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Alcorn St | Tulane | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.6 326th | 93.5 134th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.9 276th | 86.9 65th |
| Possessions a game | 71.6 219th | 73.0 96th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.1% 268th | 45.7% 156th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.6% 129th | 42.6% 29th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.1% 283rd | 22.6% 104th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.5% 250th | 31.8% 238th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 213th | 0.23 64th |
The widest gap: Tulane's defense (65th) against Alcorn St's offense (326th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Alcorn St 22, Tulane 37
- First-half margin
- Tulane by 14.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.4
- Projected second half
- Alcorn St 27, Tulane 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 65.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Alcorn St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 33.5 scored, 28.5 allowed
- Tulane, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 43.3 scored, 24.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Alcorn St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren NelsonF | 27 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Jada MorganG | 25 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Jazlyn JohnsonG | 24 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jae'la SmithG | 23 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Dekyra MitchellG | 22 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Fatime SeckG | 19 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Chrishunti WalkerF | 18 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Frances AnyakudoF | 17 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 3+ reb 49% | |||||
Tulane
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kyah SmithG | 26 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 59% · 4+ ast 47% | |||||
| Kanija DanielG | 26 | 13.0 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Edina StrauszF | 26 | 11.1 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 8+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Khadee HessionPG | 25 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Asha SraG | 20 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Jayda BrownG | 19 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 2+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Kennedy SimpsonG | 18 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 2+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Nataliyah GrayF | 15 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 52% | |||||
Missed the last game: Aizhanique Mayo (15 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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