Utah Tech at Santa Barbara
Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at The Thunderdome. Utah Tech our rank 315 · 2-1; Santa Barbara our rank 98 · 3-0.
Who will win Utah Tech vs Santa Barbara?
The model gives UC Santa Barbara a 98% chance to beat Utah Tech, with a projected score of Santa Barbara 81, Utah Tech 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Barbara | |||||
| BorterF · 27 min | 14.1 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 15+ 43% | |
| Zonzon-HuygheG · 26 min | 11.1 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 10+ 56% | |
| FloresG · 21 min | 10.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 10+ 53% | |
| SteinerF · 21 min | 9.2 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 10+ 42% | |
| Utah Tech | |||||
| StokerF · 22 min | 11.2 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 10+ 57% | |
| BowenG · 24 min | 8.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 10+ 37% | |
| SmithG · 24 min | 7.7 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 10+ 31% | |
| ZufeltG · 23 min | 7.4 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Zoe Borter: Utah Tech 3%Santa Barbara 97%
The white mark is the call with her: Santa Barbara 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Santa Barbara without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Barbara | ||||
| Zoe Borter | 2.3 | 97% | −1 | 56–79 |
| Naomy Zonzon-Huyghe | 1.8 | 97% | −1 | 56–80 |
| Olivia Anderson | 1.8 | 97% | −1 | 56–80 |
| Maddie Naro | 1.4 | 97% | −1 | 55–80 |
Change is in Santa Barbara's win chance, in points. Scores read Utah Tech, then Santa Barbara. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Utah Tech 2-1WLW
- Nov 11W 133-47vs Nelson American Indian
- Nov 6L 60-87vs CA Baptist
- Nov 2W 107-39vs Life Pacific
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 100.0 and allowing 57.7
Santa Barbara 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 92-48vs Seattle U
- Nov 5W 58-54at Pepperdine
- Nov 3W 101-26vs UC Santa Cruz
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 83.7 and allowing 42.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Utah Tech | Santa Barbara | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 83.8 274th | 97.6 92nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.7 335th | 90.7 120th |
| Possessions a game | 73.4 74th | 70.1 334th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.7% 323rd | 49.4% 18th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.2% 283rd | 44.1% 99th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.1% 145th | 22.4% 91st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.9% 170th | 35.0% 80th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 321st | 0.19 314th |
The widest gap: Santa Barbara's offense (92nd) against Utah Tech's defense (335th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Utah Tech 25, Santa Barbara 40
- First-half margin
- Santa Barbara by 14.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.1
- Projected second half
- Utah Tech 30, Santa Barbara 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Utah Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 45.7 scored, 28.3 allowed
- Santa Barbara, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 43.7 scored, 24.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Utah Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa BowenG | 24 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Ava SmithG | 24 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Kendall DykstraG | 23 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Sophia ZufeltG | 23 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Savannah StokerF | 22 | 11.2 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Aubrey CookC | 19 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 50% | |||||
| Maia RhayG | 17 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Calyn WoodG | 17 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
Missed the last game: Eva Woodward (19 min a game).
Santa Barbara
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe BorterF | 27 | 14.1 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Maddie NaroG | 26 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 5.6 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 54% · 6+ ast 47% | |||||
| Naomy Zonzon-HuygheG | 26 | 11.1 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Karisma FloresG | 21 | 10.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Nicole SteinerF | 21 | 9.2 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 7+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Chauncey AndersenG | 18 | 7.5 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Mauriana Hashemian-OrrG | 17 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Olivia AndersonF | 16 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…