Utah Valley at Utah
Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Jon M. Huntsman Center. Utah Valley our rank 181 · 1-1; Utah our rank 75 · 3-0.
Who will win Utah Valley vs Utah?
The model gives Utah a 89% chance to beat Utah Valley, with a projected score of Utah 72, Utah Valley 56.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | |||||
| GirardiG · 29 min | 15.4 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 15+ 51% | |
| EvansF · 28 min | 8.6 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 10+ 38% | |
| JonesG · 24 min | 8.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 35% | |
| BradleyF · 18 min | 7.8 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 10+ 32% | |
| Utah Valley | |||||
| GentryF · 28 min | 10.7 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 10+ 54% | |
| BlackhamG · 31 min | 8.5 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 10+ 37% | |
| ClarkG · 21 min | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5+ 64% | |
| JohnsonF · 23 min | 6.5 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 5+ 61% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Lena Girardi: Utah Valley 16%Utah 84%
The white mark is the call with her: Utah 89%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Utah without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | ||||
| Lena Girardi | 3.3 | 84% | −5 | 57–70 |
| Filipa Barros | 3.2 | 84% | −5 | 57–70 |
| Chyra Evans | 2.9 | 85% | −4 | 57–70 |
| Laia Conesa | 1.9 | 86% | −3 | 57–71 |
| Utah Valley | ||||
| Elizabeth Gentry | 1.5 | 91% | +2 | 55–73 |
| Cambree Blackham | 0.9 | 91% | +2 | 55–72 |
| Lauren Johnson | 0.7 | 90% | +1 | 55–72 |
Change is in Utah's win chance, in points. Scores read Utah Valley, then Utah. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Utah Valley 1-1WL
- Nov 7L 62-64vs Santa Clara
- Nov 3W 85-32vs Park University Gilbert
- Last 2
- 1–1, scoring 73.5 and allowing 48.0
Utah 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 65-47vs Bethune
- Nov 6W 72-63vs Colorado St
- Nov 3W 76-67vs E Washington
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 71.0 and allowing 59.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Utah Valley | Utah | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 83.8 273rd | 100.7 68th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 88.4 83rd | 89.5 100th |
| Possessions a game | 72.9 103rd | 71.2 265th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.3% 261st | 46.8% 103rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.6% 128th | 43.2% 51st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.8% 204th | 23.2% 153rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.0% 280th | 30.9% 286th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 188th | 0.21 161st |
The widest gap: Utah's defense (100th) against Utah Valley's offense (273rd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Utah Valley 26, Utah 35
- First-half margin
- Utah by 9.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.5
- Projected second half
- Utah Valley 30, Utah 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Utah Valley, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 32.0 scored, 24.5 allowed
- Utah, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 33.7 scored, 24.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Utah Valley
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambree BlackhamG | 31 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Elizabeth GentryF | 28 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Naia TanuvasaG | 26 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Lauren JohnsonF | 23 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Tabi ClarkG | 21 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Maren McKennaG | 19 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Anna ShreeveG | 18 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Olivia StephensG | 11 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 30% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
Utah
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lena GirardiG | 29 | 15.4 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Chyra EvansF | 28 | 8.6 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Filipa BarrosG | 28 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 7+ reb 55% · 4+ ast 53% | |||||
| Laia ConesaG | 28 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Peyton JonesG | 24 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Olivia BradleyF | 18 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 49% to play · 10+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Rylee LittleF | 17 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Evelina OttoF | 17 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
Missed the last game: Olivia Bradley (23 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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