Who will win La Salle vs American?
The model gives La Salle a 57% chance to beat American University, with a projected score of La Salle 69, American 67.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 La Salle | |||||
| QuinnG · 30 min | 14.5 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 15+ 46% | |
| ThompsonG · 30 min | 13.1 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 15+ 37% | |
| WilliamsF · 25 min | 9.5 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 10+ 45% | |
| NejasmicG · 30 min | 9.4 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 10+ 44% | |
 American | |||||
| DriscollG · 32 min | 18.1 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 20+ 39% | |
| VišnjevacG · 31 min | 11.1 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 10+ 56% | |
| WrightF · 29 min | 10.6 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 53% | |
| KoepkeF · 24 min | 10.0 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 10+ 49% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Joanie Quinn: La Salle 54%American 46%
The white mark is the call with her: La Salle 57%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | La Salle without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Salle | ||||
| Joanie Quinn | 1.0 | 54% | −3 | 69–67 |
| Kiara Williams | 0.8 | 55% | −2 | 69–67 |
Change is in La Salle's win chance, in points. Scores read La Salle, then American. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
La Salle 1-2LWL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 66.0 and allowing 75.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| La Salle | American | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.4 210th | 86.0 254th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.3 224th | 101.9 324th |
| Possessions a game | 73.6 65th | 71.1 272nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.2% 351st | 47.3% 80th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.5% 242nd | 43.8% 74th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.8% 204th | 24.0% 227th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.4% 60th | 33.3% 154th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 57th | 0.22 101st |
The widest gap: La Salle's offense (210th) against American's defense (324th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- La Salle 33, American 32
- First-half margin
- La Salle by 1.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.5
- Projected second half
- La Salle 36, American 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- La Salle, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.7 scored, 34.0 allowed
- American, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 1 · 30.0 scored, 46.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
La Salle
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiana ThompsonG | 30 | 13.1 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 61% | |||||
| Vivien NejasmicG | 30 | 9.4 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Joanie QuinnG | 30 | 14.5 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Kiara WilliamsF | 25 | 9.5 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Emilia ColemanG | 22 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Amiya MosesF | 21 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Olivia OstoniG | 18 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Lauren PatnodeG | 15 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 53% to play · 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
Missed the last game: Lauren Patnode (16 min a game).
American
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly DriscollG | 32 | 18.1 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| 20+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Nina VišnjevacG | 31 | 11.1 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Lauren WrightF | 29 | 10.6 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 6+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Madisyn Moore-NicholsonG | 25 | 9.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Grace KoepkeF | 24 | 10.0 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Kayla GreyvensteynG | 19 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Lexi SalazarG | 16 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Elizabeth ArcherG | 16 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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