La Salle at Virginia Tech
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Cassell Coliseum. La Salle our rank 206 · 1-2; Virginia Tech our rank 34 · 4-0.
Who will win La Salle vs Virginia Tech?
The model gives Virginia Tech a >99% chance to beat La Salle, with a projected score of Virginia Tech 84, La Salle 52.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech | |||||
| WenzelG · 28 min | 16.6 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 15+ 59% | |
| DimaroC · 24 min | 14.9 | 11.6 | 1.0 | 15+ 48% | |
| SuffrenG · 25 min | 11.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 10+ 57% | |
| LathamF · 20 min | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 10+ 39% | |
| La Salle | |||||
| QuinnG · 27 min | 10.4 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 10+ 51% | |
| ThompsonG · 27 min | 9.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 10+ 43% | |
| WilliamsF · 24 min | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 5+ 66% | |
| NejasmicG · 27 min | 6.8 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 5+ 63% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Carleigh Wenzel: La Salle 1%Virginia Tech 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Virginia Tech >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Virginia Tech without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech | ||||
| Carleigh Wenzel | 4.5 | 99% | −1 | 54–82 |
| Samyha Suffren | 4.0 | 99% | −1 | 54–82 |
| Alyssa Latham | 3.8 | 99% | −1 | 54–82 |
| Leila Wells | 3.3 | 99% | −1 | 54–82 |
| La Salle | ||||
| Joanie Quinn | 1.0 | >99% | 0 | 52–84 |
| Kiara Williams | 0.8 | >99% | 0 | 52–84 |
Change is in Virginia Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read La Salle, then Virginia Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
La Salle 1-2LWL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 66.0 and allowing 75.0
Virginia Tech 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 77-66at VCU
- Nov 8W 59-43vs James Madison
- Nov 4W 101-53vs Delaware
- Nov 2W 85-39vs NC Central
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 80.5 and allowing 50.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| La Salle | Virginia Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.4 210th | 102.7 53rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.3 224th | 78.8 17th |
| Possessions a game | 73.6 65th | 73.6 65th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.2% 351st | 44.9% 212th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.5% 242nd | 41.2% 13th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.8% 204th | 21.5% 32nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.4% 60th | 37.6% 21st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 57th | 0.20 246th |
The widest gap: Virginia Tech's defense (17th) against La Salle's offense (210th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- La Salle 23, Virginia Tech 41
- First-half margin
- Virginia Tech by 18.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.4
- Projected second half
- La Salle 29, Virginia Tech 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- La Salle, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.7 scored, 34.0 allowed
- Virginia Tech, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 39.0 scored, 19.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
La Salle
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiana ThompsonG | 27 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Vivien NejasmicG | 27 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Joanie QuinnG | 27 | 10.4 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 2+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Kiara WilliamsF | 24 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Emilia ColemanG | 21 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Amiya MosesF | 20 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 47% | |||||
| Olivia OstoniG | 18 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Lauren PatnodeG | 16 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 53% to play · 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Missed the last game: Lauren Patnode (16 min a game).
Virginia Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carleigh WenzelG | 28 | 16.6 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Leila WellsG | 27 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 3+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Samyha SuffrenG | 25 | 11.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Jessica DimaroC | 24 | 14.9 | 11.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 12+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Aniya TrentF | 24 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Alyssa LathamF | 20 | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
| Kate SearsG | 20 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Kaleo AndersonG | 14 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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