Arizona v G Washington
Women's · Wednesday, November 25, 2026, 1:30 PM ET at The Reef. Arizona our rank 101 · 2-1; G Washington our rank 125 · 2-1.
Who will win Arizona vs G Washington?
The model gives Arizona a 60% chance to beat George Washington, with a projected score of Arizona 70, G Washington 66.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | |||||
| SugapongG · 28 min | 10.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 10+ 51% | |
| GreenG · 24 min | 8.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 10+ 38% | |
| MorrisG · 26 min | 8.5 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 10+ 37% | |
| Presser-PalmerG · 25 min | 8.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 10+ 35% | |
| G Washington | |||||
| NewellG · 30 min | 14.9 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 15+ 48% | |
| ReynoldsG · 25 min | 14.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 15+ 43% | |
| LewisF · 24 min | 10.4 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 51% | |
| BairG · 30 min | 9.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 10+ 42% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Breanna Williams: Arizona 51%G Washington 49%
The white mark is the call with her: Arizona 60%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Arizona without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | ||||
| Breanna Williams | 2.8 | 51% | −9 | 68–68 |
| Gerda Raulusaityte | 2.1 | 54% | −6 | 68–67 |
| Sumayah Sugapong | 2.0 | 54% | −6 | 68–67 |
| Aliyahna Morris | 2.0 | 54% | −6 | 69–67 |
| G Washington | ||||
| Alicia Newell | 3.0 | 69% | +9 | 71–65 |
| Gabby Reynolds | 1.6 | 65% | +5 | 70–65 |
| Sara Lewis | 1.4 | 65% | +5 | 70–66 |
| Kamari Sims | 0.8 | 62% | +2 | 70–66 |
Change is in Arizona's win chance, in points. Scores read Arizona, then G Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Arizona 2-1WWL
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 67.3 and allowing 68.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
G Washington 2-1WLW
- Nov 11W 78-74vs Georgetown
- Nov 5L 66-78at West VirginiaCovered +20.5 · Over 130.5
- Nov 2W 84-23vs District of Columbia
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 76.0 and allowing 58.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Arizona | G Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.8 106th | 95.2 113th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 89.6 102nd | 92.9 150th |
| Possessions a game | 74.0 47th | 70.3 327th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.2% 192nd | 47.7% 59th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.3% 161st | 47.1% 273rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.3% 170th | 23.6% 197th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.6% 95th | 32.1% 217th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 24th | 0.21 209th |
The widest gap: Arizona's offense (106th) against G Washington's defense (150th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Arizona 33, G Washington 31
- First-half margin
- Arizona by 1.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.4
- Projected second half
- Arizona 36, G Washington 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Arizona, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 35.3 scored, 31.7 allowed
- G Washington, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 28.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Arizona
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumayah SugapongG | 28 | 10.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Aliyahna MorrisG | 26 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 41% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Makayla Presser-PalmerG | 25 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Jasleen GreenG | 24 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Arynn FinleyG | 22 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Gerda RaulusaityteF | 21 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Breanna WilliamsF | 17 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
| Molly LadwigG | 15 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
G Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia NewellG | 30 | 14.9 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Anne BairG | 30 | 9.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 59% · 4+ ast 45% | |||||
| Gabby ReynoldsG | 25 | 14.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Sara LewisF | 24 | 10.4 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Kamari SimsF | 24 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jaeda WilsonG | 16 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Amor HarrisG | 13 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 33% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| N'na KonateF | 12 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 4+ reb 43% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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