Marshall at Youngstown St
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center. Marshall our rank 165 · 1-2; Youngstown St our rank 233 · 1-2.
Who will win Marshall vs Youngstown St?
The model gives Marshall a 53% chance to beat Youngstown State, with a projected score of Marshall 78, Youngstown St 77.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall | |||||
| OtshudiG · 32 min | 20.0 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 20+ 49% | |
| SlayG · 28 min | 13.3 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 15+ 39% | |
| OshodiG · 19 min | 9.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 10+ 43% | |
| ManyuonG · 26 min | 7.3 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 5+ 67% | |
| Youngstown St | |||||
| HolmstromG · 31 min | 14.7 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 15+ 47% | |
| HaynesG · 33 min | 11.2 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 10+ 57% | |
| AekinsG · 29 min | 10.9 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 10+ 55% | |
| AmoakoC · 23 min | 9.6 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 10+ 45% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Noah Otshudi: Marshall 49%Youngstown St 51%
The white mark is the call with him: Marshall 53%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Marshall without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall | ||||
| Noah Otshudi | 1.0 | 49% | −4 | 77–78 |
| Colt Langdon | 0.7 | 50% | −3 | 77–77 |
| Khaman Maker | 0.6 | 50% | −3 | 77–77 |
| Emmanuel Manyuon | 0.5 | 51% | −2 | 78–77 |
| Youngstown St | ||||
| Jeff Nwankwo | 1.0 | 57% | +4 | 78–77 |
Change is in Marshall's win chance, in points. Scores read Marshall, then Youngstown St. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Marshall 1-2WLL
- Nov 9L 74-84at Ohio StateCovered +25.5 · Under 162.5
- Nov 7L 76-81vs ToledoDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 158.5
- Nov 2W 92-65vs Buffalo
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 80.7 and allowing 76.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
Youngstown St 1-2WLL
- Nov 10L 78-91at C MichiganDidn't cover +3.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 6L 65-89at Ohio StateCovered +25.5 · Under 154.5
- Nov 2W 79-71at St Bonaventure
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 74.0 and allowing 83.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Marshall | Youngstown St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.8 188th | 102.6 206th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 107.6 165th | 110.9 258th |
| Possessions a game | 72.7 29th | 71.1 143rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.7% 97th | 52.3% 68th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.5% 111th | 50.3% 171st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.6% 244th | 17.6% 124th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.7% 292nd | 31.9% 170th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 360th | 0.26 158th |
The widest gap: Marshall's offense (188th) against Youngstown St's defense (258th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Marshall 37, Youngstown St 36
- First-half margin
- Marshall by 0.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.7
- Projected second half
- Marshall 41, Youngstown St 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 82.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Marshall, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 36.7 scored, 32.0 allowed
- Youngstown St, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 33.0 scored, 41.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Marshall
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah OtshudiG | 32 | 20.0 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 20+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 53% | |||||
| Bryce SlayG | 28 | 13.3 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 2+ ast 47% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Emmanuel ManyuonG | 26 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Fazl OshodiG | 19 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Luke RasmussenG | 19 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Khaman MakerC | 18 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 5+ reb 54% | |||||
| Erich HardingF | 18 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 58% | |||||
| Colt LangdonF | 14 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
Youngstown St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden HaynesG | 33 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 41% | |||||
| Linus HolmstromG | 31 | 14.7 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 42% · 3+ threes 56% | |||||
| Dom AekinsG | 29 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 59% · 4+ ast 57% | |||||
| Jeff NwankwoG | 27 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Kelvin AmoakoC | 23 | 9.6 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Japhet MoupadeleF | 18 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Jermaine ColemanF | 13 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Jayden TylerG | 13 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 20% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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