Tulane at Louisiana Tech
Thursday, November 19, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Thomas Assembly Center. Tulane our rank 189 · 2-1; Louisiana Tech our rank 210 · 2-1.
Who will win Tulane vs Louisiana Tech?
The model gives Louisiana Tech a 58% chance to beat Tulane, with a projected score of Louisiana Tech 75, Tulane 73.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | |||||
| WengerF · 25 min | 12.0 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 10+ 62% | |
| TylerG · 25 min | 9.5 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 10+ 44% | |
| FennerG · 26 min | 9.3 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 10+ 43% | |
| Francis Jr.F · 19 min | 7.4 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 5+ 68% | |
| Tulane | |||||
| LewisG · 37 min | 24.0 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 25+ 45% | |
| NadeauG · 27 min | 12.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 10+ 62% | |
| RinggoldF · 30 min | 11.7 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 10+ 60% | |
| SchwiegerF · 31 min | 9.9 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 10+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without TJ Nadeau: Tulane 39%Louisiana Tech 61%
The white mark is the call with him: Louisiana Tech 58%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Louisiana Tech without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane | ||||
| TJ Nadeau | 1.0 | 61% | +3 | 72–76 |
| Tyler Ringgold | 0.7 | 60% | +2 | 72–75 |
Change is in Louisiana Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read Tulane, then Louisiana Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Tulane 2-1WLW
- Nov 10W 77-63vs NichollsCovered −9.5 · Under 152.5
- Nov 5L 85-87vs Jackson StDidn't cover −12.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 2W 100-98vs UT Martin
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 87.3 and allowing 82.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Louisiana Tech 2-1WWL
- Nov 9L 50-90at LSUDidn't cover +29.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 5W 76-17vs Arkansas Monticello
- Nov 2W 85-75vs Kent State
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 70.3 and allowing 60.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Tulane | Louisiana Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.1 161st | 101.7 233rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.3 269th | 108.6 188th |
| Possessions a game | 70.7 196th | 69.3 322nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.7% 164th | 49.9% 228th |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.5% 344th | 50.7% 201st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.1% 187th | 19.5% 317th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.4% 265th | 33.1% 99th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.34 2nd | 0.27 149th |
The widest gap: Louisiana Tech's offense (233rd) against Tulane's defense (269th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Tulane 34, Louisiana Tech 35
- First-half margin
- Louisiana Tech by 1.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.4
- Projected second half
- Tulane 39, Louisiana Tech 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Tulane, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 37.3 scored, 33.0 allowed
- Louisiana Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 33.0 scored, 29.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Tulane
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian LewisG | 37 | 24.0 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 25+ pts 45% · 3+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| KJ GreeneG | 34 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 42% | |||||
| Carson SchwiegerF | 31 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Tyler RinggoldF | 30 | 11.7 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| TJ NadeauG | 27 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Joah ChappelleF | 22 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Josiah MooreG | 19 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
Louisiana Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen FennerG | 26 | 9.3 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jay TylerG | 25 | 9.5 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 40% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Braylon WengerF | 25 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Deven BatesG | 21 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Adam BoydG | 19 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Iyran Francis Jr.F | 19 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Kyran TilleyG | 19 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Ethan BlackmonF | 17 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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