Saint Joseph's at Drexel
Friday, November 20, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Daskalakis Athletic Center. Saint Joseph's our rank 120 · 3-0; Drexel our rank 194 · 1-2.
Who will win Saint Joseph's vs Drexel?
The model gives Saint Joseph's a 62% chance to beat Drexel, with a projected score of Saint Joseph's 71, Drexel 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Joseph's | |||||
| MyersG · 33 min | 14.3 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 15+ 45% | |
| Glover-ToscanoG · 29 min | 13.6 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 15+ 40% | |
| RansonG · 28 min | 13.6 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 15+ 40% | |
| WillifordG · 35 min | 7.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 10+ 32% | |
| Drexel | |||||
| Lorenzano-WhiteG · 30 min | 12.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 15+ 34% | |
| SimonovicF · 29 min | 9.6 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 10+ 45% | |
| PittmanG · 24 min | 9.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 10+ 43% | |
| PagonisF · 30 min | 9.1 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 10+ 41% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Sean Logan: Saint Joseph's 55%Drexel 45%
The white mark is the call with him: Saint Joseph's 62%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Saint Joseph's without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Joseph's | ||||
| Sean Logan | 1.9 | 55% | −7 | 70–69 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano | 1.9 | 55% | −7 | 71–69 |
| Khaafiq Myers | 1.5 | 57% | −5 | 71–69 |
| Austin Williford | 1.1 | 58% | −4 | 71–69 |
| Drexel | ||||
| Amaree Abram | 1.6 | 67% | +5 | 72–67 |
Change is in Saint Joseph's's win chance, in points. Scores read Saint Joseph's, then Drexel. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Saint Joseph's 3-0WWW
- Nov 11W 83-80vs South FloridaCovered +6.5 · Over 148.5
- Nov 7W 67-57vs LafayetteDidn't cover −16.5 · Under 147.5
- Nov 4W 82-73vs Longwood
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 77.3 and allowing 70.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Saint Joseph's | Drexel | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.0 226th | 101.2 242nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.7 69th | 107.6 166th |
| Possessions a game | 71.6 95th | 69.4 315th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.7% 356th | 49.6% 243rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.6% 122nd | 52.1% 287th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 15.7% 7th | 17.8% 151st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.7% 332nd | 26.7% 359th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 115th | 0.24 281st |
The widest gap: Saint Joseph's's defense (69th) against Drexel's offense (242nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Saint Joseph's 34, Drexel 32
- First-half margin
- Saint Joseph's by 1.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.5
- Projected second half
- Saint Joseph's 38, Drexel 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Saint Joseph's, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 36.7 scored, 28.7 allowed
- Drexel, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 35.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Saint Joseph's
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin WillifordG | 35 | 7.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Khaafiq MyersG | 33 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 57% | |||||
| Sean LoganF | 29 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 7+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Jaiden Glover-ToscanoG | 29 | 13.6 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| BJ RansonG | 28 | 13.6 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 2+ ast 51% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Logan CareyG | 18 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Keoni SaccoF | 12 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 43% | |||||
Drexel
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panagiotis PagonisF | 30 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Latief Lorenzano-WhiteG | 30 | 12.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 34% · 2+ ast 46% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| David SimonovicF | 29 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| LaDricus PittmanG | 24 | 9.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Amaree AbramG | 22 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Josh ReedG | 19 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Dillon TinglerG | 18 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Clem EdomwonyinF | 16 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 48% | |||||
Missed the last game: Josh Reed (21 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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