Who will win Drexel vs Maine?
The model gives Drexel a 66% chance to beat Maine, with a projected score of Drexel 70, Maine 65.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Drexel | |||||
| Lorenzano-WhiteG · 30 min | 12.9 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 15+ 36% | |
| SimonovicF · 29 min | 9.8 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 10+ 47% | |
| PittmanG · 24 min | 9.6 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 10+ 45% | |
| PagonisF · 30 min | 9.3 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 10+ 43% | |
 Maine | |||||
| WilliamsG · 31 min | 10.4 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 10+ 51% | |
| Garcia AdstenG · 26 min | 8.4 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 10+ 37% | |
| FlaggF · 25 min | 7.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 5+ 67% | |
| LopesG · 18 min | 6.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5+ 58% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Amaree Abram: Drexel 60%Maine 40%
The white mark is the call with him: Drexel 66%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Drexel without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drexel | ||||
| Amaree Abram | 1.6 | 60% | −6 | 69–66 |
Change is in Drexel's win chance, in points. Scores read Drexel, then Maine. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Drexel 1-2LWL
- Nov 11L 64-66vs AmericanDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 138.5
- Nov 7W 77-74vs ColgateCovered +1.5 · Over 140.5
- Nov 3L 60-89at Virginia
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 67.0 and allowing 76.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Maine 1-3LWLL
- Nov 10L 65-71at Rhode IslandCovered +20.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 8L 62-68vs ManhattanDidn't cover −3.5 · Under 137.5
- Nov 5W 74-72at Sacred HeartCovered +5.5 · Over 142.5
- Nov 2L 56-83at Providence
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 64.2 and allowing 73.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Drexel | Maine | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.2 242nd | 92.7 357th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 107.6 166th | 108.8 191st |
| Possessions a game | 69.4 315th | 69.9 276th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.6% 243rd | 50.7% 174th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 287th | 47.4% 21st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.8% 151st | 20.0% 339th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 26.7% 359th | 26.4% 363rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 281st | 0.28 73rd |
The widest gap: Drexel's defense (166th) against Maine's offense (357th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Drexel 33, Maine 31
- First-half margin
- Drexel by 2.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.5
- Projected second half
- Drexel 37, Maine 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Drexel, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 35.7 allowed
- Maine, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 27.0 scored, 27.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Drexel
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panagiotis PagonisF | 30 | 9.3 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Latief Lorenzano-WhiteG | 30 | 12.9 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 2+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| David SimonovicF | 29 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| LaDricus PittmanG | 24 | 9.6 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Amaree AbramG | 22 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Josh ReedG | 19 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Dillon TinglerG | 18 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Clem EdomwonyinF | 16 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 50% | |||||
Missed the last game: Josh Reed (21 min a game).
Maine
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre WilliamsG | 31 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Villiam Garcia AdstenG | 26 | 8.4 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 2+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Ace FlaggF | 25 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 2+ ast 45% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Killian GribbenF | 22 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Hudson FranzG | 19 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Yanis BambaF | 19 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Ayden EvansF | 18 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Darius LopesG | 18 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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